Fresno State Bulldogs vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 11/14/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026

Location: UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bobcats (-10.0)

Total/Over-Under: 59.5

The Texas State Bobcats (5-4) will go up against the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-4) at UFCU Stadium on Saturday, November 14, 2026. Texas State opens this contest as 10-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 59.5.

The Fresno State Bulldogs head into this game 5-4 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Bulldogs faced the Utah State Aggies and took a loss by a final of 17-10. For the game, they ran 66 plays for 278 yards. The Fresno State Bulldogs ran the rock 27 times and compiled 16 yds, which came out to an average of 0.6 yds per carry. On the ground, the Bulldogs conceded 152 yds on 41 attempts, which is 3.7 yards per run allowed. Fresno State relinquished 9 pass completions on 14 attempts for a total of 117 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.3%.

The Bulldogs have tallied 3,128 total yards for the year. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Fresno State has earned 12 touchdowns via the pass and 16 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 5 times. Fresno State has accumulated 158 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 38 penalties for 286 yds. As a unit they're averaging 131.0 yards rushing giving them a rank of 103rd in college football. In terms of scoring, the Fresno State Bulldogs have an average of 26.8 points per outing.

When talking about yards through the air, the Bulldogs have allowed 1,985 yds which has them sitting in 78th in Division 1. They have yielded 220.6 yards per contest via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 61.7%. Over the course of this season, they have surrendered 378.8 yards/contest which puts them 92nd in the country. They have yielded 10 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 9 touchdowns running the ball. The opposition is running for an average of 4.4 yards per rush and 158.2 rushing yards per game so far this season. In total, they have given up 1,424 rushing yards through 9 games. The Bulldogs are ranked 38th in the country in terms of team defense, allowing 20.6 PPG.

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The Bobcats head into this matchup 5-4 for this year. For their last game, the Bobcats walked away with a victory by a final of 42-21 against the Oregon State Beavers. Texas State ran the football for 6.2 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 386 yards on 62 attempts. The Bobcats finished the game with a total of 600 yards while running 82 plays (7.3 yards per play). The Bobcats passing defense allowed a completion rate of 58.1%, surrendering 267 yds on 25 for 43 passing. Texas State surrendered 26 rushing attempts for 80 yds (3.1 yds per carry).

The Texas State Bobcats have an average of 517.0 yards/outing, which ranks them 3rd in Division 1. The Texas State offense has compiled 468 yds of penalties on 53 violations, which has them sitting 90th in college football in terms of helping out the opposition. They are averaging 265.8 yards per game on the ground and have run for 2,392 yards for the season. They have thrown 7 picks while allowing opponents to recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to earn 225 first downs. In relation to their ability to score points, the Bobcats are sitting 11th in Division 1 holding an average of 38.6 points per outing. For the season thus far, the Bobcats have thrown for a total of 2,261 passing yards as well as holding an average of 251.2 passing yards per outing, ranking them 37th in the country.

Texas State has surrendered a total of 1,032 rushing yards (114.7 yards per game) and 17 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have surrendered 17 touchdowns through the air in addition to 292.2 yards/game, which has them in 137th in the country. In total, they have conceded 277 pts. Their defense has earned 2 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions for the year. The Bobcats defense has been on the field for 667 plays, which is 131st in the country. The Bobcats are allowing 30.8 points per contest, which has them sitting 115th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Bobcats college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bobcats -10.0

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