Miami Hurricanes vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, 1/8/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Hurricanes vs Ole Miss Rebels

Date: Thursday, January 8, 2026

Location: State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Rebels (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52

The Miami Hurricanes (12-2) are hitting the road to State Farm Stadium on Thursday, January 8, 2026 where they will compete against the Ole Miss Rebels (13-1) in the CFP Semifinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl. Ole Miss opens this matchup as 3.5-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 52.

The Miami Hurricanes come into this game with a record of 12-2 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Hurricanes faced the Ohio State Buckeyes and notched a win by a score of 24-14. The Miami Hurricanes ran the ball 37 different times and had 153 yds, which is an average of 4.1 yards per tote. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 63 plays which gave them 291 yards. Miami relinquished 22 completions on 35 tries for a total of 287 yds, and a completion rate of 62.9%. Against the run, the Hurricanes gave up 45 yds on 24 tries, which is 1.9 yards per rush allowed.

The Hurricanes have earned 5,678 total yards this year. In terms of notching touchdowns, Miami has earned 29 passing touchdowns and 24 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 13 different times. Miami has amassed 305 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 95 infractions for 783 yards. Offensively they maintain an average of 152.0 yards in the run game ranking them 77th in D-1. When it comes to scoring points, the Miami Hurricanes hold an average of 31.6 points per contest.

The Hurricanes sit in 4th in the nation regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 13.1 points per contest. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.8 yards per run and 84.0 yards on the ground per contest so far this season. Over the course of this year, they have given up 1,176 running yards through 14 games. When talking about passing yards, the Hurricanes have given up 2,815 yds which ranks them 75th in the country. They have surrendered 201.1 yards per outing via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 60.0%. In total, they have allowed 285.1 yards/game putting them 10th in college football. They have yielded 13 touchdowns through the air as well as 8 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Rebels come into this game with a record of 13-1 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Rebels walked away with a victory by a final of 39-34 when they faced the Georgia Bulldogs. Ole Miss allowed 37 running attempts for 124 yds (3.4 yards per carry). The Rebels secondary conceded a completion rate of 57.6%, surrendering 219 yards on 19 for 33 through the air. The Rebels finished with 473 yds and they ran 73 plays (6.5 yds per play). Ole Miss rushed for 4.1 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 111 yds on 27 attempts.

In relation to their ability to score points, the Rebels are sitting 10th in the nation with 37.6 points per outing. The Ole Miss Rebels are averaging 496.2 yards per contest, which has them ranked 2nd in Division 1. The Ole Miss offense has accrued 752 yards of penalties on 78 infractions, which has them sitting 61st in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. They have thrown 8 picks while allowing opponents to recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 360 1st downs. Over the course of the season so far, the Rebels have compiled 4,423 yards through the air as well as an average of 315.9 passing yards per outing, putting them at 3rd in college football. They are averaging 180.3 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 2,524 yards for the season.

Ole Miss has allowed a total of 2,045 yards via the ground game (146.1 yards per game) in addition to 18 touchdowns rushing this year. They have conceded 15 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 194.0 yards per outing, which has them sitting 31st in D-1. In total, they have surrendered 286 total points. They have tallied 6 fumbles recovered and 8 picks so far this season. The Rebels defense has taken the field for 909 plays, which ranks 114th in Division 1. The Rebels are allowing 20.4 points per game, which has them ranked 29th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Hurricanes/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Hurricanes -3.5

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