Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, 11/7/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines

Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026

Location: Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, MI

TV: Peacock

Odds/Point Spread: Wolverines (-13.5)

Total/Over-Under: 38.5

Michigan Stadium is the site where the Michigan Wolverines (5-3) will meet the Michigan State Spartans (2-6) on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Michigan State opens this game as 13.5-point dogs. The over/under is 38.5.

The Michigan State Spartans step onto the field holding a record of 2-6 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Spartans faced off with the UCLA Bruins and ended up losing by a score of 28-10. The Michigan State Spartans ran the football 29 different times and recorded 47 yards, which is an average of 1.6 yards per attempt. On the day, they had 54 plays for 156 yds. Michigan State relinquished 18 completions on 31 tries for a total of 198 yards, and a completion rate of 58.1%. On the ground, the Spartans gave up 245 yds on 48 tries, which averages out to 5.1 yds per run allowed.

The Spartans have attained 2,331 total yards for the season. With reference to getting in the endzone, Michigan State has earned 8 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 11 times. Michigan State has compiled 147 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 37 infractions for 333 yds. Offensively they're holding an average of 110.1 yards on the ground ranking them 122nd in Division 1. Regarding scoring, the Michigan State Spartans are averaging 19.9 points per outing.

The Spartans are sitting in 86th in the nation regarding the opposition scoring, conceding 25.8 PPG. They are giving up 4.2 yards per running attempt and 153.8 yards on the ground per game so far this season. During the season, they have allowed 1,230 rushing yards through 8 games. Regarding passing yards, the Spartans have allowed 1,611 yds which has them ranked 46th in the country. They have conceded 201.4 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 61.3%. For the year, they have given up 355.1 yards/game which puts them 64th in college football. They have given up 11 touchdowns through the air as well as 14 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Wolverines come into this matchup with a record of 5-3 this year. When they last played, the Wolverines took home the win by a final score of 28-21 against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. The Wolverines finished the contest with a total of 427 yds and they ran 72 plays (5.9 yds per play). Michigan ran for 3.6 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 161 yds on 45 carries. Michigan surrendered 26 attempts on the ground for 126 yards (4.8 yards per carry). The Wolverines secondary gave up a completion percentage of 25.0%, relinquishing 123 yds on 3 out of 12 through the air.

When discussing the points being put on the board, the Wolverines are sitting 114th in the nation with an average of 21.3 points per game. The Michigan Wolverines maintain an average of 316.4 yards per game, ranking them 128th in the country. The Michigan offense has racked up 500 yards of penalties on 54 infractions, which is 66th in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have tossed 7 picks while losing 6 fumbles and they have been able to tally 139 1st downs. For the season to this point, the Wolverines have thrown for a total of 1,427 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 178.4 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 120th in D-1. They have an average of 138.0 run yards per game and have run for 1,104 yards in total.

The Wolverines are conceding 16.4 points per game, which has them sitting 18th in college football. Michigan has conceded a total of 795 yards rushing (99.4 yards per game) as well as 4 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have given up 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 150.6 yards/game, ranking them 5th in D-1. The Wolverines defense has taken the field for 465 plays, which ranks 5th in D-1. They have earned 2 fumbles and 7 interceptions for the year. Overall, they have given up 131 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Spartans/Wolverines college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Wolverines -13.5

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