Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction, 10/3/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers

Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026

Location: Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, WI

TV: BTN

Odds/Point Spread: Badgers (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Michigan State Spartans (2-2) are en route to Camp Randall Stadium on Saturday, October 3, 2026 where they will take on the Wisconsin Badgers (3-1). Michigan State opens this game as 10.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 43.5.

The Michigan State Spartans step onto the field holding a record of 2-2 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Spartans faced the Nebraska Cornhuskers and took a loss by a score of 31-13. The Michigan State Spartans ended up running the ball 32 times and had 39 yards, which earned them an average of 1.2 yards per carry. When the final whistle blew, they had 60 plays which gave them a total of 257 yards. Michigan State relinquished 15 completions on 27 attempts for a total of 212 yds, and a completion percentage of 55.6%. When it came to stopping the run, the Spartans conceded 157 yds on 41 tries, which is 3.8 yards per rush surrendered.

When talking about putting points on the board, the Michigan State Spartans are averaging 22.0 points per outing. As a unit they're averaging 122.8 yards on the ground ranking this team at 114th in Division 1. The Spartans have earned 1,293 total yards for the season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Michigan State has amassed 3 passing touchdowns and 6 touchdowns on the ground. Michigan State has compiled 83 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 15 infractions for 165 yds. They have turned the football over 6 different times.

The Spartans sit in 56th in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, giving up 21.3 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt and 124.0 rushing yards per contest on the year. In total, they have allowed 496 yards via the ground game in 4 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Spartans have allowed 760 yards which has them sitting in 52nd in D-1. They are giving up 190.0 yards per game via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 62.4%. Overall, they are allowing 314.0 yards per outing which has them sitting 45th in Division 1. They have given up 4 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Badgers head into this game 3-1 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Badgers walked away with a victory by a final of 24-20 against the Penn State Nittany Lions. Wisconsin gave up 36 rushing attempts for 119 yds (3.3 yds per rush). The Badgers pass defense gave up a completion rate of 41.4%, surrendering 114 yards on 12 out of 29 through the air. The Badgers finished the game with 355 yards and they ran 66 plays (5.4 yds per play). Wisconsin rushed the football for 4.3 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 120 yards on 28 attempts.

The Wisconsin Badgers average 381.0 yards per game, ranking them 81st in the country. The Wisconsin offense has 190 penalty yds on 25 violations, which ranks 79th in the nation in terms of helping out the other team. They hold an average of 134.3 run yards per game and have run for 537 yards for the season. They have given away 5 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 1 fumble and they have been able to obtain 73 first downs. In relation to their ability to score points, the Badgers are sitting 66th in college football with 31.8 points per game. For the season thus far, the Badgers have a total of 987 yards through the air along with holding an average of 246.8 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 56th in the nation.

The Badgers are surrendering 20.0 PPG, which has them ranked 46th in the country. Wisconsin has conceded a total of 446 yards via the ground game (111.5 yards per outing) in addition to 3 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have conceded 3 touchdowns via the pass and 163.8 yards/outing, which has them sitting 22nd in the country. The Badgers defense has participated in 248 plays, which ranks 55th in D-1. Their defense has compiled 1 fumble recovered and 3 interceptions for the season. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 80 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Spartans/Badgers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Badgers -10.5

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