Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, 10/31/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns

Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026

Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Longhorns (-21.0)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The Texas Longhorns (5-2) are hosting the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3) at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Mississippi State opens this contest as 21-point underdogs. The over/under is 50.5.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 4-3 this season. The last time they took the field, the Bulldogs played the Oklahoma Sooners and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 23-15. Overall, they had 63 plays which gave them 352 yds. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ended up running the ball 33 different times and totaled 166 yds, which earned them an average of 5.0 yards per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Bulldogs conceded 184 yards on 41 attempts, which is 4.5 yds per run surrendered. Mississippi State gave up 22 completions on 29 attempts for a total of 283 yards, and a completion rate of 75.9%.

Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have an average of 30.0 points per outing. As a team they hold an average of 175.0 yards on the ground which is 50th in the nation. The Bulldogs currently have 3,078 total yards over the course of this year. In terms of scoring, Mississippi State has earned 20 touchdowns through the air and 7 rushing touchdowns. Mississippi State has amassed 165 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 55 infractions for 514 yards. They have turned the football over 10 times.

The Bulldogs sit in 102nd in college football regarding the opposition scoring, giving up 27.7 points per contest. They are allowing an average of 3.7 yards per attempt on the ground and 124.6 yards on the ground per contest so far this season. Overall, they have given up 872 yards via the ground game in 7 games. Concerning yards through the air, the Bulldogs have allowed 1,872 yds which has them ranked 120th in Division 1. They have conceded 267.4 yards per game through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 67.1%. In total, they are granting 392.0 yards per contest which ranks them 106th in the nation. They have allowed 15 touchdowns through the air and 5 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Longhorns come into this game with a record of 5-2 this year. When they last played, the Longhorns got the victory with a final of 34-27 when they played the Ole Miss Rebels. The Longhorns finished the game with 419 yards while running 72 plays (5.8 yards per play). Texas rushed for 4.9 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 207 yds on 42 carries. Texas allowed 30 attempts on the ground for 113 yards (3.8 yards per rush). The Longhorns secondary conceded a completion rate of 48.1%, relinquishing 250 yds on 25 out of 52 through the air.

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Longhorns are 57th in Division 1 with 30.7 PPG. The Texas Longhorns have an average of 370.4 yards/outing, which has them sitting 85th in Division 1. The Texas offense has 460 yds of penalties on 48 infractions, which has them sitting 59th in the country in terms of helping out the other team. They have thrown 7 picks while letting opponents recover 4 fumbles and they have obtained 144 first downs. During the season so far, the Longhorns have thrown for 1,570 passing yards in addition to an average of 224.3 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 74th in D-1. They hold an average of 146.1 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,023 yards in total.

The Longhorns are relinquishing 19.1 points per game, which puts them 29th in college football. Texas has given up a total of 751 yards rushing (107.3 yards/game) as well as 4 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the campaign. They have yielded 6 touchdowns via the pass and 178.1 yards per game, which has them in 21st in Division 1. The Longhorns defense has taken part in 476 plays, which is good for 74th in college football. Their defense has 2 fumbles and 6 picks this season. In total, they have allowed 134 total points.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Longhorns college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +21.0

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