Missouri State Bears vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, 9/5/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri State Bears vs Texas A&M Aggies

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026

Location: Kyle Field in College Station, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (-41.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

The Texas A&M Aggies (11-2 last year) welcome the Missouri State Bears (7-6 last season) at Kyle Field on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Texas A&M opens as 41.5-point favorites. The total is 53.5.

The Missouri State Bears finished the year holding a 7-6 mark. In their last matchup, the Bears went up against the Arkansas State Red Wolves and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 34-28. On the ground, the Bears conceded 71 yards on 25 tries, which is an average of 2.8 yds per run allowed. Missouri State surrendered 17 completions on 31 attempts for a total of 288 yds, and a completion rate of 54.8%. When all was said and done, they ran 72 plays for 396 yards. The Missouri State Bears ran the rock 37 different times and totaled 47 yds, which earned them an average of 1.3 yards per carry.

Regarding scoring, the Missouri State Bears held an average of 25.6 PPG. As a team they averaged 112.5 yards in the run game, which ranked them 118th in the nation. The Bears earned 5,099 total yards for the previous season. Missouri State earned 30 passing touchdowns and 12 touchdowns on the ground. Missouri State accounted for 267 1st downs as a team, and they were hurt by 99 penalties for 865 yards. They surrendered the football 18 times.

The Bears were sitting in 92nd in college football regarding team defense, conceding 28.8 points per game. They allowed an average of 4.6 yards per running attempt and 153.3 yards on the ground per game throughout last season. Over the course of last year, they gave up 1,993 rushing yards through 13 games. In terms of passing yardage, the Bears allowed 2,984 yards which had them sitting in 96th in the country. During their 13 games, they conceded 229.5 yards per outing via the pass in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 64.2%. They surrendered 382.8 yards per outing which ranked them 78th in the country. They conceded 20 passing touchdowns as well as 26 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Aggies wrapped up their year having a 11-2 record. When they last stepped on the field, the Aggies took a defeat with a final score of 10-3 against the Miami Hurricanes. Texas A&M ran the ball for 2.5 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 89 yds on 35 attempts. The Aggies finished the game with a total of 326 yards while running 75 plays (4.3 yds per play). The Aggies secondary allowed a completion percentage of 66.7%, relinquishing 103 yds on 14 out of 21 through the air. Texas A&M allowed 28 running attempts for 175 yds (6.3 yds per rush).

The Texas A&M Aggies held an average of 444.5 yards per outing, which had them ranked 23rd in college football. The Texas A&M offense compiled 789 penalty yards on 94 violations, which had them ranked 20th in college football in terms of helping out the other team. They held an average of 184.7 yards per game on the ground and ran for 2,401 yards for the year. They threw 14 picks while letting opponents recover 5 fumbles and they tallied 293 first downs. Regarding their ability to score points, the Aggies ranked 19th in Division 1 by scoring 33.8 points per outing. Last year, the Aggies racked up 3,377 passing yards as well as averaging 259.8 passing yards per contest, which had them sitting 32nd in the nation.

The Aggies gave up 21.0 points per contest, ranking them 36th in D-1. Texas A&M allowed a total of 1,700 yards rushing (130.8 yards per game) and 13 touchdowns rushing last season. They surrendered 17 touchdowns through the air and 176.6 yards/contest, which had them in 16th in the country. The Aggies defense took part in 787 plays, which ranked them 19th in college football. They totaled 7 fumbles and 3 picks over the course of the prior season. Overall, they surrendered 273 total points.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bears +41.5

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