MTSU Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames Prediction, 11/14/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: MTSU Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames

Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026

Location: Williams Stadium (VA) in Lynchburg, VA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-21.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

The Liberty Flames (8-1) will play the MTSU Blue Raiders (5-4) at Williams Stadium (VA) on Saturday, November 14, 2026. MTSU opens this matchup as 21.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total is set at 53.5.

The MTSU Blue Raiders come into this game with a record of 5-4 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Blue Raiders took on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and walked away with a win by a score of 51-42. The MTSU Blue Raiders ran the football 30 different times and tallied 201 yards, which came out to an average of 6.7 yards per attempt. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 72 plays which converted into 513 yards. MTSU relinquished 24 pass completions on 36 tries for 259 yds, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. Against the run, the Blue Raiders gave up 238 yards on 32 tries, which is an average of 7.4 yds per rush allowed.

Concerning scoring, the MTSU Blue Raiders are sitting at 26.9 points per outing. As a team they're averaging 152.3 yards on the ground which is 72nd in the country. The Blue Raiders have earned 3,270 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, MTSU has compiled 16 touchdowns through the air and 9 touchdowns on the ground. MTSU has amassed 179 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 65 infractions for 497 yds. They have turned the ball over 6 times.

The Blue Raiders rank 117th in the nation regarding team defense, giving up 31.0 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.4 yards per attempt on the ground and 190.3 rushing yards per game so far this season. Overall, they have given up 1,713 yards via the running game in 9 games. Concerning passing yards, the Blue Raiders have allowed 1,943 yards which ranks them 67th in Division 1. They have yielded 215.9 yards per game via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 64.1%. During this campaign, they are giving up 406.2 yards per outing which has them sitting 114th in the country. They have conceded 14 touchdowns through the air as well as 20 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Flames head into this game 8-1 for this year. In their last game, the Flames got the win with a final of 30-14 against the New Mexico State Aggies. Liberty surrendered 22 rush attempts for 44 yards (2.0 yards per carry). The Flames pass defense gave up a completion rate of 65.5%, surrendering 256 yards on 19 for 29 passing. The Flames finished with a total of 399 yards and they ran 72 plays (5.5 yards per play). Liberty ran the ball for 3.3 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 147 yards on 44 attempts.

The Liberty Flames have an average of 409.7 yards per outing, which has them ranked 47th in D-1. The Liberty offense has accrued 710 yds of penalties on 84 infractions, which is good for 1st in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. They are averaging 205.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,845 yards for the year. They have thrown 1 picks while letting opponents recover 5 fumbles and they have earned 198 first downs. When discussing their scoring prowess, the Flames are sitting 33rd in Division 1 with an average of 33.3 points per game. For the year thus far, the Flames have compiled 1,842 yards through the air as well as an average of 204.7 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 95th in the nation.

The Flames are relinquishing 13.6 points per game, ranking them 6th in D-1. Liberty has allowed the opposition a total of 885 yards on the ground (98.3 yards/game) and 4 touchdowns rushing for the campaign. They have yielded 8 touchdowns through the air and 185.8 yards per contest, which has them ranked 26th in the nation. The Flames defense has taken the field for 534 plays, ranking them 9th in college football. They have compiled 4 fumbles recovered and 10 picks on the campaign. This season, they have allowed 122 total points.

Who will win tonight's Blue Raiders/Flames college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Raiders +21.5

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