Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 10/3/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026

Location: Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy, CO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

Falcon Stadium is the site where the Air Force Falcons (2-1) will try to beat the Navy Midshipmen (1-2) on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Air Force is 3.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 45.5.

The Navy Midshipmen head into this game 1-2 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Midshipmen played the UAB Blazers and went home with a loss by a final score of 24-20. At the end of the game, they ran 71 plays which gave them 353 yards. The Navy Midshipmen ended up running the ball 58 different times and compiled 249 yards, which had them averaging 4.3 yds per carry. In the running game, the Midshipmen conceded 116 yds on 34 tries, which is an average of 3.4 yards per run surrendered. Navy gave up 13 pass completions on 20 tries for 174 yds, and a completion percentage of 65.0%.

The Midshipmen currently have 1,273 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Navy has compiled 2 touchdowns through the air and 10 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 4 times. Navy has earned 72 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 17 penalties for 135 yards. As a team they average 333.7 yards rushing which is 3rd in D-1. When talking about getting in the endzone, the Navy Midshipmen are sitting at 30.7 points per outing.

The Midshipmen are sitting in 92nd in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, allowing 25.7 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 2.0 yards per running attempt and 65.7 yards on the ground per contest for the season. For the year, they have given up 197 yards via the ground game in 3 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Midshipmen have given up 767 yds which has them sitting in 54th in the nation. They are allowing 255.7 yards per outing through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 75.0%. Over the course of this season, they have yielded 321.3 yards per contest ranking them 53rd in D-1. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 2 touchdowns running the ball.

Get all of our College Football Picks Today

The Falcons come into this game with a record of 2-1 for this season. In their last game, the Falcons got the win with a final of 36-33 against the Nevada Wolf Pack. The Falcons ended up finishing with 455 yds while they ran 83 plays (5.5 yards per play). Air Force ran the ball for 5.2 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 363 yards on 70 attempts. Air Force conceded 35 run attempts for 187 yds (5.3 yards per carry). The Falcons secondary gave up a completion rate of 58.1%, surrendering 224 yds on 18 out of 31 through the air.

The Air Force Falcons are averaging 430.3 yards per contest, which is good for 46th in Division 1. The Air Force offense has 195 penalty yards on 22 violations, which is 101st in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. They have an average of 333.7 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,001 yards for the season. They have tossed 2 picks while losing no fumbles and they have been able to record 73 first downs. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Falcons rank 53rd in college football scoring 34.0 points per contest. During the season thus far, the Falcons have earned 290 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 96.7 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 134th in the country.

Air Force has conceded a total of 387 yards via the ground game (129.0 yards per outing) and 6 touchdowns on the ground on the year. They have conceded 2 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 168.3 yards/game, which has them in 29th in college football. In total, they have surrendered 71 points in total. Their defense has no fumbles and 3 interceptions over the course of the season. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 169 plays, which is 2nd in college football. The Falcons are relinquishing 23.7 PPG, which has them 77th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons -3.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college football picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.