Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners Prediction, 10/17/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Navy Midshipmen vs UTSA Roadrunners

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

Location: Alamodome in San Antonio, TX

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Roadrunners (-7.0)

Total/Over-Under: 54.5

The UTSA Roadrunners (5-1) will compete against the Navy Midshipmen (2-3) at Alamodome on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Navy opens this game as 7-point underdogs. The total is set at 54.5.

The Navy Midshipmen step onto the field holding a record of 2-3 for this year. In their last game, the Midshipmen stepped onto the field against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane and notched a win by a score of 34-26. The Navy Midshipmen ended up rushing 67 times and accumulated 386 yards, which came out to an average of 5.8 yards per tote. When all was said and done, they tallied 74 plays which converted into 481 yards. Navy conceded 22 pass completions on 39 tries for a total of 278 yds, and a completion rate of 56.4%. Against the rush, the Midshipmen conceded 98 yards on 28 tries, which is 3.5 yards per run allowed.

The Midshipmen have tallied 2,007 total yards for the season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Navy has compiled 4 touchdowns via the pass and 14 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 9 different times. Navy has tallied 107 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 24 penalties for 199 yds. As a unit they average 299.4 yards via the ground game ranking them 3rd in the country. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Navy Midshipmen are sitting at 27.0 PPG.

Regarding passing yards, the Midshipmen have conceded 1,127 yds which puts them in 60th in Division 1. They have conceded 225.4 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 66.7%. For the season, they are conceding 322.0 yards/outing which ranks them 40th in the nation. They have relinquished 10 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 5 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up 2.6 yards per tote and 96.6 yards on the ground per game on the year. Overall, they have conceded 483 running yards through 5 games. The Midshipmen sit in 68th in the nation in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 23.4 PPG.

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The Roadrunners head into this matchup 5-1 for this season. In their last game, the Roadrunners walked away with a victory by a final of 16-14 against the Rice Owls. The Roadrunners finished the contest with a total of 314 yards and they ran 72 plays (4.4 yds per play). UTSA ran for 3.9 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 166 yards on 43 attempts. UTSA conceded 46 run attempts for 144 yards (3.1 yds per rush). The Roadrunners pass defense gave up a completion rate of 42.9%, surrendering 88 yards on 6 for 14 passing.

The UTSA Roadrunners average 401.5 yards per game, ranking them 64th in the nation. The UTSA offense has accrued 527 yds of penalties on 51 infractions, which ranks 9th in the country in terms of making mistakes. They are averaging 191.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,146 yards overall. They have thrown 2 interceptions while conceding 1 fumble and they have tallied 124 first downs. In relation to how much they score, the Roadrunners rank 60th in the nation with an average of 31.3 points per contest. Over the course of the season thus far, the Roadrunners have thrown for a total of 1,263 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 210.5 passing yards per outing, which ranks 87th in the country.

The Roadrunners are allowing 25.8 PPG, which has them sitting 91st in the nation. UTSA has allowed a total of 1,108 yards on the ground (184.7 yards per outing) in addition to 10 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have yielded 7 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 202.5 yards/game, which has them ranked 59th in D-1. The Roadrunners defense has been on the field for 443 plays, which is 136th in D-1. Their defense has earned 2 fumbles recovered and 5 picks this season. Overall, they have given up 155 total points.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Roadrunners college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Midshipmen +7.0

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