NC State Wolfpack vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 9/19/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: NC State Wolfpack vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026

Location: FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Commodores (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-0) will try to beat the NC State Wolfpack (1-1) at FirstBank Stadium on Saturday, September 19, 2026. NC State opens this contest as 3.5-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 51.5.

The NC State Wolfpack come into this game with a record of 1-1 this year. In their last contest, the Wolfpack stepped onto the field against the Richmond Spiders and notched a win by a score of 73-0. In the running game, the Wolfpack conceded 34 yds on 22 attempts, which averages out to 1.5 yds per run allowed. NC State relinquished 8 pass completions on 27 tries for a total of 76 yds, and a completion percentage of 29.6%. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 69 plays which totaled 734 yards. The NC State Wolfpack ran the ball 45 times and totaled 428 yards, which came out to an average of 9.5 yards per attempt.

The Wolfpack have tallied 902 total yards for the year. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, NC State has totaled 2 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 3 times. NC State has tallied 41 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 6 infractions for 53 yards. Offensively they have an average of 252.0 yards via the ground game which is 18th in Division 1. Concerning getting in the endzone, the NC State Wolfpack are sitting at 40.5 points per game.

When talking about passing yardage, the Wolfpack have allowed 231 yds which ranks them 8th in the nation. They are giving up 115.5 yards per outing through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 44.7%. During the season, they are allowing 261.5 yards per contest which has them sitting 36th in the country. They have yielded 2 touchdowns via the pass as well as 2 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing an average of 3.7 yards per running attempt and 146.0 rushing yards per contest this year. Overall, they have conceded 292 rushing yards through 2 games. The Wolfpack are ranked 53rd in the country concerning team defense, giving up 17.0 points per game.

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The Commodores head into this game 2-0 this season. When they last played, the Commodores walked away with a victory by a final of 35-26 when they faced the Delaware Blue Hens. Vanderbilt rushed for 2.6 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 100 yards on 38 carries. The Commodores ended up finishing with 339 yards on 69 plays (4.9 yds per play). The Commodores passing defense conceded a completion rate of 46.9%, relinquishing 240 yds on 15 out of 32 passing. Vanderbilt relinquished 36 attempts on the ground for 98 yds (2.7 yds per carry).

The Vanderbilt Commodores have an average of 367.0 yards per game, which ranks them 95th in the nation. The Vanderbilt offense has racked up 109 yds of penalties on 15 infractions, which ranks 49th in the nation in terms of hurting your team. They average 143.0 rushing yards per game and have run for 286 yards overall. They have given away no interceptions while losing 1 fumble and they have earned 37 first downs. When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Commodores are sitting 70th in the nation holding an average of 31.5 points per game. Over the course of the season thus far, the Commodores have racked up 448 passing yards as well as holding an average of 224.0 throwing yards per game, which ranks 73rd in college football.

Vanderbilt has given up a total of 160 yards rushing (80.0 yards/game) and 1 touchdown via the rush on the season. They have allowed the opposition 2 touchdowns through the air in addition to 178.0 yards/game, which puts them in 52nd in college football. Their defense has no fumbles recovered and 2 interceptions on the campaign. The Commodores defense has taken part in 114 plays, ranking them 31st in D-1. The Commodores are allowing 17.5 PPG, which has them ranked 59th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Wolfpack/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Commodores -3.5

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