New Mexico Lobos vs Hawaii Warriors Prediction, 10/17/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Hawaii Warriors

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, HI

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Warriors (+13.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45

Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex is the site where the Hawaii Warriors (1-5) will attempt to beat the New Mexico Lobos (4-1) on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Hawaii is 13.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 45.

The New Mexico Lobos head into this matchup 4-1 for this season. In their last matchup, the Lobos played against the UTEP Miners and notched a win by a score of 61-7. For the game, they tallied 65 plays for 492 yards. The New Mexico Lobos ran the football 42 times and accrued 230 yds, which had them averaging 5.5 yards per carry. On the ground, the Lobos conceded 169 yds on 35 tries, which averages out to 4.8 yds per run allowed. New Mexico allowed 8 completions on 18 attempts for 101 yds, and a completion rate of 44.4%.

When talking about scoring, the New Mexico Lobos are averaging 43.4 PPG. Offensively they're averaging 208.8 yards rushing which has them sitting 31st in the country. The Lobos have tallied 1,931 yards in total for the season. In terms of getting in the endzone, New Mexico has amassed 8 touchdowns through the air and 18 rushing touchdowns. New Mexico has earned 106 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 29 infractions for 224 yards. They have surrendered the ball 1 time.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Lobos have allowed 774 yards which puts them in 8th in the nation. They have relinquished 154.8 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 56.0%. During this campaign, they are conceding 255.6 yards/contest putting them 10th in D-1. They have relinquished 5 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 2 touchdowns via the ground game. The opposition is running for 3.2 yards per rush on the ground and 100.8 rushing yards per game on the year. For the year, they have conceded 504 yards via the ground game in 5 games. The Lobos are sitting in 3rd in college football concerning team defense, allowing 10.6 points per game.

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The Warriors come into this matchup with a record of 1-5 this year. In their last game, the Warriors took a loss by a final score of 30-12 when they faced the Arizona State Sun Devils. The Warriors finished the game with a total of 316 yds while running 73 plays (4.3 yards per play). Hawaii ran for 2.9 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 64 yds on 22 attempts. Hawaii relinquished 30 rushing attempts for 231 yards (7.7 yds per rush). The Warriors passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 67.7%, surrendering 189 yards on 21 for 31 through the air.

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Warriors currently sit 129th in the country averaging 16.7 points per contest. The Hawaii Warriors are averaging 353.5 yards/contest, which ranks them 101st in Division 1. The Hawaii offense has accrued 319 penalty yards on 43 infractions, which has them ranked 28th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 4 picks while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have been able to record 121 first downs. For the season to this point, the Warriors have compiled 1,627 passing yards as well as an average of 271.2 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 28th in D-1. They have an average of 82.3 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 494 yards for the year.

Hawaii has allowed a total of 1,022 rushing yards (170.3 yards per contest) and 12 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have conceded 6 touchdowns from the passing game and 220.2 yards per outing, which has them ranked 88th in college football. In total, they have allowed 154 points in total. Their defense has 1 fumble and 2 picks this season. The Warriors defense has participated in 383 plays, which ranks 91st in the country. The Warriors are conceding 25.7 PPG, which puts them 90th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Warriors college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Warriors +13.5

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