New Mexico Lobos vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 9/26/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026

Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (+12.0)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The New Mexico Lobos (2-1) are en route to Aggie Memorial Stadium on Saturday, September 26, 2026 where they will take on the New Mexico State Aggies (1-2). New Mexico State opens as 12-point underdogs. The total comes in at 48.5.

The New Mexico Lobos come into this matchup with a record of 2-1 for this season. In their last game, the Lobos faced the Oklahoma Sooners and took a loss by a final of 14-6. In the game, they had 57 plays which totaled 185 yds. The New Mexico Lobos ran the rock 38 times and compiled 69 yards, which came out to an average of 1.8 yards per tote. On the ground, the Lobos conceded 61 yds on 32 attempts, which calculates to 1.9 yards per rush surrendered. New Mexico conceded 19 completions on 26 attempts for 238 yds, and a completion percentage of 73.1%.

The Lobos currently have 1,009 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, New Mexico has amassed 4 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns. They have yet to turn the ball over. New Mexico has recorded 63 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 16 penalties for 119 yards. Offensively they're averaging 187.0 yards via the ground game ranking them 46th in the nation. When talking about getting in the endzone, the New Mexico Lobos are averaging 38.0 points per outing.

The Lobos sit in 8th in the nation concerning team defense, allowing 9.3 points per game. They are giving up 2.2 yards per run and 66.0 yards on the ground per game this year. Overall, they have allowed 198 yards via the ground game in 3 contests. When talking about passing yardage, the Lobos have conceded 405 yds which puts them in 17th in college football. They have conceded 135.0 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 56.5%. Over the course of this year, they have given up 201.0 yards per game which puts them 5th in D-1. They have conceded 3 touchdowns by air and 1 touchdown pounding the rock.

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The Aggies head into this matchup 1-2 for this year. For their last game, the Aggies took a loss by a final score of 29-19 when they faced the Hawaii Warriors. New Mexico State rushed the football for 4.0 yds per attempt, totaling 124 yards on 31 attempts. The Aggies finished the contest with a total of 380 yards and they ran 66 plays (5.8 yards per play). The Aggies passing defense gave up a completion rate of 73.9%, relinquishing 353 yds on 34 out of 46 through the air. New Mexico State conceded 26 rushing attempts for 67 yards (2.6 yds per rush).

The New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 417.7 yards per game, which is good for 63rd in the nation. The New Mexico State offense has racked up 180 yds of penalties on 22 infractions, which is 46th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. They are averaging 135.7 yards via the ground game and have rushed for 407 yards for this season. They have thrown 3 interceptions while conceding 1 fumble and they have been able to tally 61 first downs. Regarding how much they score, the Aggies currently sit 85th in D-1 averaging 29.0 points per contest. Over the course of the season so far, the Aggies currently have a total of 846 passing yards as well as holding an average of 282.0 passing yards per outing, which ranks 32nd in Division 1.

New Mexico State has yielded a total of 354 rushing yards (118.0 yards per game) in addition to 6 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. They have surrendered 3 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 240.7 yards/outing, which has them in 108th in college football. This year, they have given up 77 points in total. Their defense has 1 fumble recovered and 3 picks for the year. The Aggies defense has taken part in 196 plays, which is 80th in Division 1. The Aggies are giving up 25.7 points per game, which has them sitting 93rd in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Lobos -12.0

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