New Mexico Lobos vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, 9/19/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Oklahoma Sooners

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026

Location: Memorial Stadium in Norman, OK

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Sooners (-23.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46

Memorial Stadium is the site where the Oklahoma Sooners (1-1) will take on the New Mexico Lobos (2-0) on Saturday, September 19, 2026. New Mexico opens as 23.5-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 46.

The New Mexico Lobos come into this matchup with a record of 2-0 for this year. In their last contest, the Lobos stepped onto the field against the Mercyhurst Lakers and earned the victory with a final of 70-7. When it came to stopping the run, the Lobos gave up 18 yds on 28 tries, which averages out to 0.6 yards per run surrendered. New Mexico surrendered 13 pass completions on 27 tries for 137 yds, and a completion rate of 48.1%. In all, they had 70 plays which converted into 460 yards. The New Mexico Lobos ran the rock 52 different times and amassed 287 yds, which came out to an average of 5.5 yards per attempt.

Regarding getting in the endzone, the New Mexico Lobos hold an average of 54.0 points per game. As a unit they have an average of 246.0 yards rushing which is 21st in the nation. The Lobos have tallied 824 total yards over the course of this season. In terms of scoring touchdowns, New Mexico has compiled 4 passing touchdowns and 10 touchdowns via the ground. New Mexico has earned 51 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 8 infractions for 64 yds. They have yet to turn the ball over.

When it comes to passing yards, the Lobos have given up 167 yds which has them ranked 2nd in D-1. They have conceded 83.5 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 46.5%. Over the course of this season, they are allowing 152.0 yards per game ranking them 3rd in the country. They have yielded 1 touchdown by air as well as 1 touchdown via the ground game. They are giving up 2.3 yards per running attempt and 68.5 yards on the ground per contest for the year. For the season, they have conceded 137 running yards through 2 games. The Lobos are ranked 10th in college football when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 7.0 points per game.

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The Sooners come into this game with a record of 1-1 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Sooners went home defeated by a final of 17-10 when they played the Michigan Wolverines. The Sooners finished the game with 289 yds and they ran 62 plays (4.7 yards per play). Oklahoma ran the ball for 3.4 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 100 yds on 29 attempts. Oklahoma surrendered 41 rush attempts for 152 yds (3.7 yds per carry). The Sooners secondary gave up a completion rate of 52.9%, surrendering 111 yards on 9 for 17 through the air.

The Oklahoma Sooners have an average of 345.0 yards per outing, ranking them 105th in the nation. The Oklahoma offense has accrued 106 yards of penalties on 12 infractions, which is good for 88th in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team. They hold an average of 135.0 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 270 yards overall. They have thrown 1 pick while losing 2 fumbles and they have been able to record 36 1st downs. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Sooners currently sit 73rd in D-1 averaging 30.5 points per contest. During the season so far, the Sooners currently sit at 420 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 210.0 passing yards per game, which is ranked 87th in Division 1.

Oklahoma has allowed the opposition a total of 264 yards via the ground game (132.0 yards/game) as well as 2 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the season. They have given up no TD's from the passing game in addition to 98.5 yards/outing, which has them sitting 3rd in the country. Their defense has totaled 2 fumbles and no picks this year. The Sooners defense has participated in 114 plays, which is 29th in the country. The Sooners are conceding 8.5 points per contest, which puts them 13th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Sooners college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Lobos +23.5

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