New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, 8/29/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida State Seminoles

Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026

Location: Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, FL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Seminoles (-31.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

The Florida State Seminoles (5-7 last year) will play the New Mexico State Aggies (4-8 last season) at Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Florida State opens this contest as 31.5-point favorites. The total is set at 52.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies wrapped up their season having earned a 4-8 record. In their last matchup, the Aggies faced the MTSU Blue Raiders and took a loss by a final of 31-24. Against the run, the Aggies conceded 199 yards on 33 tries, which averages out to 6.0 yards per run allowed. New Mexico State surrendered 24 pass completions on 43 attempts for a total of 260 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.8%. At the end of the game, they ran 74 plays which gave them a total of 395 yards. The New Mexico State Aggies ended up running the ball 27 different times and had 84 yards, which had them averaging 3.1 yards per attempt.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the New Mexico State Aggies averaged 21.6 points per contest. Offensively they maintained an average of 77.3 yds on the ground, ranking this team 136th in D-1. The Aggies tallied 3,935 total yards for last season. New Mexico State compiled 17 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns. New Mexico State accounted for 245 1st downs as an offense, and they committed 74 infractions for 654 yds. They surrendered the ball 24 times.

Concerning passing yards, the Aggies conceded 2,842 yards which put them in 78th in the nation. In their 12 games played, they allowed 236.8 yards per game via the pass and relinquishing a completion percentage of 63.8%. They relinquished 401.8 yards per outing ranking them 97th in the country. They allowed 25 touchdowns through the air as well as 14 touchdowns via the ground game. They gave up an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and 165.0 rushing yards per game throughout last year. Over the course of last year, they allowed 1,980 rushing yards through 12 contests. The Aggies were ranked 88th in the nation when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 27.6 points per contest.

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The Seminoles wrapped up their year with a 5-7 record. When they last played, the Seminoles went home defeated by a final of 40-21 when they played the Florida Gators. Florida State gave up 45 rush attempts for 272 yards (6.0 yards per carry). The Seminoles pass defense allowed a completion rate of 62.5%, surrendering 168 yards on 15 for 24 passing. The Seminoles finished the game with 407 yards and they ran 65 plays (6.3 yds per play). Florida State rushed the football for 4.5 yards per carry, totaling 167 yards on 37 attempts.

The Florida State Seminoles averaged 472.1 yards/outing, which was good for 6th in D-1. The Florida State offense totaled 544 yds of penalties on 65 violations, which had them ranked 102nd in college football in terms of giving up free yards. They averaged 218.7 rushing yards per game and ran for 2,624 yards in total. They gave away 10 picks while losing 10 fumbles and they tallied 292 first downs. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Seminoles ranked 22nd in D-1 by scoring 33.0 PPG. Last season, the Seminoles had a total of 3,041 yards through the air in addition to averaging 253.4 passing yards per outing, ranking them 40th in D-1.

The Seminoles surrendered 22.0 PPG, ranking them 43rd in Division 1. Florida State yielded a total of 1,657 yards via the ground game (138.1 yards per outing) in addition to 12 touchdowns via the rush throughout last year. They gave up 20 touchdowns via the pass and 190.8 yards per game, which put them in 28th in college football. The Seminoles defense took the field for 787 plays, which had them ranked 21st in Division 1. Their defense had 2 fumbles and 12 interceptions for the prior year. In total, they gave up 264 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Seminoles college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Aggies +31.5

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