New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears Prediction, 11/14/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears

Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026

Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium in Springfield, MO

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-2.0)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The New Mexico State Aggies (3-6) are headed to Robert W. Plaster Stadium on Saturday, November 14, 2026 where they will try to defeat the Missouri State Bears (3-6). Missouri State opens as 2-point favorites. The total is 48.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this matchup with a record of 3-6 for this season. In their last matchup, the Aggies faced the Liberty Flames and ended up losing by a score of 30-14. For the game, they had 51 plays which gave them 300 yards. The New Mexico State Aggies ran the rock 22 times and accrued 44 yds, which earned them an average of 2.0 yds per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Aggies gave up 147 yards on 44 tries, which is an average of 3.3 yards per rush allowed. New Mexico State allowed 19 completions on 28 attempts for a total of 252 yds, and a completion rate of 67.9%.

The Aggies have earned 3,120 total yards for the year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, New Mexico State has compiled 13 touchdowns via the pass and 8 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 17 different times. New Mexico State has a total of 157 first downs offensively, and they have committed 58 infractions for 445 yds. As a unit they have an average of 144.2 yards on the ground ranking them 86th in D-1. When it comes to putting points on the board, the New Mexico State Aggies are sitting at 20.7 PPG.

The Aggies sit in 75th in the country when it comes to team defense, allowing 25.8 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per run and 137.2 rushing yards per game so far this year. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,235 yards on the ground through 9 games. Regarding yards via the pass, the Aggies have given up 1,925 yds which ranks them 62nd in the country. They are giving up 213.9 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 63.6%. Over the course of this season, they are allowing 351.1 yards per contest which puts them 61st in Division 1. They have conceded 7 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 18 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Bears head into this game 3-6 for this year. In their last game, the Bears took a defeat with a final score of 23-20 against the FIU Panthers. Missouri State rushed for 2.3 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 77 yards on 33 carries. The Bears finished with a total of 308 yards on 69 plays (4.5 yards per play). The Bears secondary gave up a completion percentage of 69.0%, surrendering 234 yards on 20 out of 29 through the air. Missouri State surrendered 42 rushing attempts for 260 yds (6.2 yards per carry).

The Missouri State Bears are averaging 354.9 yards/outing, which is good for 98th in the nation. The Missouri State offense has 599 penalty yds on 75 violations, which is good for 16th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. They have an average of 121.6 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,094 yards overall. They have given away 7 interceptions while losing 3 fumbles and they have obtained 168 first downs. When looking at the points being put on the board, the Bears are ranked 99th in the country averaging 23.9 points per contest. During the season thus far, the Bears currently have a total of 2,100 yards through the air as well as an average of 233.3 passing yards per contest, which has them sitting 65th in the nation.

Missouri State has surrendered a total of 1,577 yards on the ground (175.2 yards per contest) in addition to 17 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have allowed 16 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 249.2 yards per game, which has them ranked 120th in the nation. Overall, they have given up 270 total points. Their defense has tallied 6 fumbles and 4 picks on the season. The Bears defense has been on the field for 633 plays, which ranks 118th in Division 1. The Bears are surrendering 30.0 points per contest, ranking them 112th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Bears college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Aggies +2.0

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