New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston Bearkats Prediction, 10/21/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston Bearkats

Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Location: Elliott T. Bowers Stadium in Huntsville, TX

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Bearkats (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

Elliott T. Bowers Stadium is the site where the Sam Houston Bearkats (1-5) will try to defeat the New Mexico State Aggies (2-4) on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Sam Houston opens this contest as 2.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 44.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game with a record of 2-4 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Aggies took on the FIU Panthers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 22-3. The New Mexico State Aggies ran the football 28 times and accrued 107 yds, which came out to an average of 3.8 yards per tote. Overall, they ran 58 plays for 230 yards. New Mexico State relinquished 13 completions on 22 tries for a total of 120 yards, and a completion rate of 59.1%. When it came to stopping the run, the Aggies gave up 100 yards on 44 attempts, which is an average of 2.3 yds per run surrendered.

Concerning scoring, the New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 23.7 PPG. As a team they're maintaining an average of 142.8 yards on the ground which ranks them 90th in the nation. The Aggies have tallied 2,240 yards in total for this campaign. When it comes to notching touchdowns, New Mexico State has earned 9 touchdowns via the pass and 6 rushing touchdowns. New Mexico State has accrued 112 first downs, and they have committed 40 penalties for 307 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 11 different times.

When talking about passing yardage, the Aggies have allowed 1,334 yards which has them ranked 64th in Division 1. They have relinquished 222.3 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 64.1%. During this campaign, they are conceding 347.8 yards/outing ranking them 61st in the country. They have yielded 4 touchdowns via the pass as well as 13 touchdowns pounding the rock. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.5 yards per rushing attempt and 125.5 yards on the ground per game for the campaign. Overall, they have allowed 753 yards on the ground through 6 contests. The Aggies sit in 89th in college football when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 25.7 points per contest.

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The Bearkats step onto the field holding a record of 1-5 this year. In their last game, the Bearkats took a loss by a score of 16-3 when they faced the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Sam Houston ran for 2.4 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 65 yds on 27 carries. The Bearkats finished the contest with a total of 177 yds while running 57 plays (3.1 yds per play). The Bearkats secondary gave up a completion rate of 48.4%, surrendering 132 yds on 15 out of 31 passing. Sam Houston conceded 43 run attempts for 144 yds (3.3 yds per carry).

The Sam Houston Bearkats average 342.0 yards per game, which ranks them 108th in D-1. The Sam Houston offense has accrued 404 yards of penalties on 47 violations, which has them ranked 45th in the nation in terms of hurting your team. They are averaging 95.0 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 570 yards for this year. They have given away 5 picks while allowing opponents to recover 1 fumble and they have earned 103 1st downs. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Bearkats currently sit 124th in college football holding an average of 19.5 points per outing. For the year to this point, the Bearkats have thrown for a total of 1,482 passing yards as well as an average of 247.0 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 51st in the nation.

The Bearkats are relinquishing 24.5 points per game, which has them 77th in the nation. Sam Houston has yielded a total of 1,202 yards rushing (200.3 yards/game) and 10 touchdowns rushing this season. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns via the pass and 137.8 yards/game, ranking them 4th in D-1. The Bearkats defense has been on the field for 391 plays, ranking them 34th in D-1. They have tallied 2 fumbles and 5 picks so far this season. This season, they have surrendered 147 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Bearkats college football game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Bearkats +2.5

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