North Carolina Tar Heels vs Connecticut Huskies Prediction, 11/7/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Connecticut Huskies

Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026

Location: Pratt & Whitney Stadium in East Hartford, CT

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Huskies (+6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 54

The Connecticut Huskies (4-4) will go up against the North Carolina Tar Heels (4-4) at Pratt & Whitney Stadium on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Connecticut opens this game as 6.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 54.

The North Carolina Tar Heels step onto the field holding a record of 4-4 for this season. In their last contest, the Tar Heels went up against the Miami Hurricanes and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 38-35. The North Carolina Tar Heels ended up rushing 30 times and totaled 66 yds, which earned them an average of 2.2 yards per carry. In all, they tallied 64 plays which totaled 407 yds. North Carolina relinquished 22 pass completions on 29 attempts for a total of 274 yds, and a completion percentage of 75.9%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Tar Heels conceded 142 yards on 33 attempts, which is 4.3 yards per run allowed.

When talking about scoring points, the North Carolina Tar Heels are sitting at 25.8 points per game. As a team they're holding an average of 108.0 yards rushing which ranks them 126th in the nation. The Tar Heels have earned 2,758 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, North Carolina has earned 15 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns. North Carolina has accumulated 163 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 34 penalties for 259 yards. They have surrendered the football 11 different times.

In terms of passing yardage, the Tar Heels have conceded 1,800 yards which has them ranked 82nd in the country. They are allowing 225.0 yards per game through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 65.2%. In total, they are granting 378.1 yards per contest which has them ranked 93rd in the country. They have granted 11 touchdowns by air and 10 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing an average of 4.0 yards per rushing attempt and 153.1 rushing yards per game this year. Over the course of this season, they have given up 1,225 running yards through 8 outings. The Tar Heels are ranked 57th in the nation concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 23.0 PPG.

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The Huskies head into this matchup 4-4 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Huskies went home defeated by a final of 35-26 against the Air Force Falcons. Connecticut ran the football for 5.0 yds per carry, finishing the game with 105 yds on 21 carries. The Huskies finished the game with 368 yards and they ran 54 plays (6.8 yds per play). The Huskies pass defense allowed a completion rate of 0.0%, relinquishing 0 yards on 0 out of 3 through the air. Connecticut relinquished 74 attempts on the ground for 366 yards (4.9 yards per rush).

When looking at the points being put on the board, the Huskies are sitting 30th in D-1 with an average of 34.4 points per game. The Connecticut Huskies hold an average of 437.6 yards/contest, which has them sitting 29th in the nation. The Connecticut offense has 620 yds of penalties on 68 violations, which has them ranked 14th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 3 interceptions while letting opponents recover 4 fumbles and they have tallied 172 1st downs. During the season thus far, the Huskies have compiled 1,975 passing yards along with an average of 246.9 throwing yards per contest, putting them at 44th in the nation. They are averaging 190.8 run yards per game and have rushed for 1,526 yards for the year.

Connecticut has surrendered a total of 1,119 rushing yards (139.9 yards per contest) and 13 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the year. They have surrendered 13 touchdowns via the pass and 249.1 yards per outing, which has them ranked 115th in the nation. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 202 total points. Their defense has earned 3 fumbles recovered and 4 picks for the season. The Huskies defense has taken part in 577 plays, which ranks them 120th in Division 1. The Huskies are conceding 25.3 points per game, which has them sitting 74th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Tar Heels/Huskies college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tar Heels -6.5

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