North Dakota State Bison vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction, 9/19/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Dakota State Bison vs Sacramento State Hornets

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026

Location: Hornet Stadium in Sacramento, CA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Hornets (+27.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

The North Dakota State Bison (3-0) are hitting the road to Hornet Stadium on Saturday, September 19, 2026 where they will meet the Sacramento State Hornets (1-2). Sacramento State opens this game as 27.5-point underdogs. The total is set at 52.5.

The North Dakota State Bison come into this game with a record of 3-0 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Bison took on the Air Force Falcons and walked away with a win by a score of 38-32. When the final whistle blew, they had 60 plays for 374 yards. The North Dakota State Bison ran the ball 37 different times and accrued 146 yds, which came out to an average of 3.9 yards per carry. On the ground, the Bison gave up 207 yards on 51 tries, which calculates to 4.1 yds per rush allowed. North Dakota State surrendered 9 pass completions on 15 tries for a total of 179 yards, and a completion rate of 60.0%.

The Bison have tallied 1,120 total yards this season. In terms of getting in the endzone, North Dakota State has compiled 6 touchdowns via the pass and 5 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 2 different times. North Dakota State has 60 first downs, and they have been called for 22 infractions for 184 yards. Offensively they have an average of 161.0 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 77th in the nation. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the North Dakota State Bison are averaging 36.3 PPG.

In terms of yards via the pass, the Bison have allowed 380 yards which has them sitting in 59th in college football. They are giving up 126.7 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 55.0%. For the year, they have relinquished 230.3 yards per contest putting them 19th in college football. They have yielded 2 touchdowns through the air in addition to 3 touchdowns running the ball. The opposition is running for an average of 2.9 yards per rush and 103.7 yards on the ground per game for the year. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 311 rushing yards through 3 games. The Bison are sitting in 31st in the nation when it comes to team defense, allowing 13.0 PPG.

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The Hornets head into this game 1-2 for this season. In their last game, the Hornets took a defeat with a final score of 49-3 when they faced the Fresno State Bulldogs. Sacramento State allowed 33 rushing attempts for 193 yards (5.8 yds per rush). The Hornets secondary gave up a completion percentage of 86.7%, relinquishing 349 yards on 26 out of 30 passing. The Hornets finished with a total of 262 yards while they ran 65 plays (4.0 yards per play). Sacramento State rushed the football for 3.3 yds per attempt, totaling 112 yards on 34 carries.

In terms of this team's ability to score points, the Hornets are sitting 100th in D-1 by scoring 24.0 PPG. The Sacramento State Hornets maintain an average of 328.7 yards/game, which has them sitting 113th in the nation. The Sacramento State offense has compiled 180 yds of penalties on 21 infractions, which is good for 6th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. They have tossed 3 interceptions while conceding 2 fumbles and they have been able to record 55 1st downs. During the season thus far, the Hornets have compiled 622 passing yards as well as holding an average of 207.3 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 91st in the country. They hold an average of 121.3 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 364 yards in total.

The Hornets are allowing 25.7 points per game, which has them ranked 95th in the country. Sacramento State has allowed the opposition a total of 366 yards rushing (122.0 yards/game) as well as 6 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have allowed 4 touchdowns through the air and 223.7 yards/game, which has them in 92nd in college football. The Hornets defense has been on the field for 184 plays, which ranks 131st in the country. They have earned 2 fumbles and no interceptions so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Bison/Hornets college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bison -27.5

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