North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 9/19/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026

Location: UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, TX

TV: USA Net

Odds/Point Spread: Bobcats (-3.0)

Total/Over-Under: 63

The Texas State Bobcats (0-2) will compete against the North Texas Mean Green (1-1) at UFCU Stadium on Saturday, September 19, 2026. North Texas opens this game as 3-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 63.

The North Texas Mean Green come into this game with a record of 1-1 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Mean Green faced the UNLV Rebels and took home the win by a score of 44-6. The North Texas Mean Green ended up running the ball 38 times and recorded 183 yds, which had them averaging 4.8 yds per attempt. In the game, they had 67 plays which gave them a total of 444 yds. North Texas relinquished 19 pass completions on 33 attempts for 203 yds, and a completion rate of 57.6%. On the ground, the Mean Green gave up 98 yds on 39 attempts, which is an average of 2.5 yds per run surrendered.

The Mean Green have racked up 811 total yards for the season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, North Texas has totaled 2 passing touchdowns and 4 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 1 time. North Texas has amassed 41 first downs as a team, and they have committed 19 infractions for 152 yds. Offensively they maintain an average of 167.5 yards on the ground which is 71st in Division 1. When it comes to scoring, the North Texas Mean Green have an average of 30.0 PPG.

The Mean Green are ranked 115th in the country in terms of team defense, giving up 29.0 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.4 yards per run and 116.0 yards on the ground per contest for the campaign. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 232 rushing yards through 2 games. Regarding passing yards, the Mean Green have given up 434 yds which ranks them 86th in Division 1. They have allowed 217.0 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 65.3%. Over the course of this year, they are conceding 333.0 yards/game which ranks them 77th in the nation. They have granted 4 touchdowns by air as well as 3 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Bobcats come into this matchup with a record of 0-2 this year. In their last game, the Bobcats took a loss by a score of 31-26 when they played the UTSA Roadrunners. Texas State gave up 31 run attempts for 140 yds (4.5 yards per rush). The Bobcats passing defense allowed a completion rate of 67.4%, relinquishing 258 yards on 29 out of 43 through the air. The Bobcats finished the game with 481 yards on 80 plays (6.0 yds per play). Texas State ran for 5.8 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 289 yards on 50 carries.

The Texas State Bobcats are averaging 415.0 yards/outing, which ranks them 66th in college football. The Texas State offense has accrued 120 yds of penalties on 12 violations, which has them ranked 94th in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They hold an average of 225.0 rushing yards per game and have run for 450 yards for the season. They have tossed 3 interceptions while conceding 3 fumbles and they have tallied 45 1st downs. Concerning the points being put on the board, the Bobcats currently sit 127th in Division 1 scoring 16.5 PPG. During the season thus far, the Bobcats have a total of 380 passing yards as well as holding an average of 190.0 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 102nd in D-1.

The Bobcats are surrendering 45.0 points per contest, which puts them 136th in the nation. Texas State has surrendered a total of 296 yards via the ground game (148.0 yards per outing) and 5 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have allowed the opposition 6 touchdowns via the pass as well as 309.0 yards per game, which has them ranked 134th in the country. The Bobcats defense has been on the field for 144 plays, ranking them 110th in college football. They have compiled no fumbles and 1 pick for the year.

Who will win tonight's Mean Green/Bobcats college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mean Green +3.0

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