Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 10/10/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026

Location: FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Commodores (+9.0)

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

FirstBank Stadium is the location where the Vanderbilt Commodores (3-2) will try to beat the Ole Miss Rebels (3-1) on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Vanderbilt opens this contest as 9-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 58.5.

The Ole Miss Rebels come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 for this season. In their last contest, the Rebels went up against the Florida Gators and took a loss by a score of 52-28. The Ole Miss Rebels ended up rushing 27 different times and recorded 128 yds, which came out to an average of 4.7 yds per attempt. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 61 plays which converted into 426 yds. Ole Miss relinquished 16 pass completions on 23 tries for a total of 196 yards, and a completion percentage of 69.6%. In the running game, the Rebels conceded 302 yards on 53 attempts, which is an average of 5.7 yards per run surrendered.

The Rebels have racked up 1,760 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Ole Miss has compiled 8 passing touchdowns and 9 touchdowns via the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 6 different times. Ole Miss has tallied 99 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 29 penalties for 258 yds. As a team they have an average of 117.5 yards on the ground which ranks them 119th in the country. When talking about scoring points, the Ole Miss Rebels are sitting at 35.5 PPG.

The Rebels are ranked 118th in Division 1 regarding their opponents scoring, allowing 30.8 points per game. The opposition is running for an average of 4.6 yards per run and 194.8 rushing yards per contest for the campaign. During this campaign, they have given up 779 rushing yards through 4 games. Concerning passing yards, the Rebels have conceded 840 yards which puts them in 38th in Division 1. They are giving up 210.0 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 65.3%. For the season, they are allowing 404.8 yards per contest ranking them 115th in the nation. They have yielded 4 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Commodores head into this matchup 3-2 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Commodores took a defeat with a final score of 38-14 when they played the Georgia Bulldogs. The Commodores finished the game with a total of 293 yds and they ran 51 plays (5.7 yards per play). Vanderbilt ran for 3.3 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 85 yds on 26 carries. Vanderbilt conceded 34 run attempts for 176 yards (5.2 yards per carry). The Commodores secondary conceded a completion rate of 78.1%, relinquishing 295 yards on 25 out of 32 through the air.

The Vanderbilt Commodores hold an average of 349.4 yards per outing, which has them ranked 102nd in the nation. The Vanderbilt offense has racked up 328 yards of penalties on 45 infractions, which ranks them 6th in the nation in terms of making mistakes. They average 123.0 yards per game on the ground and have run for 615 yards for the season. They have thrown 4 picks while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 92 1st downs. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Commodores are ranked 91st in college football by scoring 25.4 PPG. During this campaign thus far, the Commodores have thrown for a total of 1,132 yards through the air along with an average of 226.4 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 76th in college football.

The Commodores are relinquishing 25.0 points per game, which has them 81st in Division 1. Vanderbilt has allowed the opposition a total of 641 rushing yards (128.2 yards/game) as well as 5 touchdowns via the rush for the campaign. They have allowed the opposition 9 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 214.2 yards/outing, ranking them 78th in the country. The Commodores defense has participated in 317 plays, which is 82nd in Division 1. They have 2 fumbles and 4 picks over the course of the season. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 125 total points.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Commodores +9.0

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