Oregon Ducks vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction, 1/9/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Oregon Ducks vs Indiana Hoosiers

Date: Friday, January 9, 2026

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Hoosiers (-4.0)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Oregon Ducks (13-1) are en route to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Friday, January 9, 2026 where they will attempt to defeat the Indiana Hoosiers (14-0) in the CFP Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl. Oregon opens this game as 4.0-point dogs. The over/under is set at 46.5.

The Oregon Ducks come into this game with a record of 13-1 this year. In their last matchup, the Ducks took on the Texas Tech Red Raiders and walked away with a win by a score of 23-0. The Oregon Ducks ended up running the ball 47 different times and accrued 64 yards, which had them averaging 1.4 yards per carry. In all, they ran 81 plays which converted into 309 yds. Oregon relinquished 18 completions on 32 attempts for 137 yds, and a completion rate of 56.3%. When it came to stopping the run, the Ducks conceded 78 yards on 30 attempts, which averages out to 2.6 yds per rush allowed.

Regarding getting in the endzone, the Oregon Ducks have an average of 38.0 PPG. As a unit they're holding an average of 206.1 yards on the ground which has them sitting 15th in the country. The Ducks have racked up 6,405 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Oregon has compiled 29 touchdowns via the pass and 34 touchdowns via the ground. Oregon has earned 312 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 71 infractions for 703 yards. They have surrendered the ball 13 times.

The Ducks rank 6th in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 15.1 points per contest. They are allowing 3.3 yards per rush on the ground and 110.8 rushing yards per contest so far this season. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,551 rushing yards through 14 contests. In terms of passing yards, the Ducks are allowing 2,192 yds which has them ranked 9th in Division 1. They have surrendered 156.6 yards per game via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 51.6%. For the year, they have given up 267.4 yards/game which ranks them 6th in the nation. They have relinquished 14 touchdowns by air in addition to 11 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Hoosiers come into this game with a record of 14-0 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Hoosiers took home the win by a final score of 38-3 when they faced the Alabama Crimson Tide. Indiana rushed for 4.3 yds per attempt, finishing with 215 yds on 50 carries. The Hoosiers finished the contest with 407 yards and they ran 66 plays (6.2 yards per play). The Hoosiers pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 72.7%, relinquishing 170 yds on 24 for 33 passing. Indiana gave up 17 run attempts for 23 yds (1.4 yards per carry).

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Hoosiers rank 3rd in D-1 averaging 41.6 points per outing. The Indiana Hoosiers maintain an average of 468.1 yards/contest, which is good for 7th in D-1. The Indiana offense has totaled 379 yards of penalties on 50 violations, which is good for 129th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 7 picks while surrendering 1 fumbles and they have been able to earn 342 1st downs. During this campaign thus far, the Hoosiers currently sit at 3,464 passing yards not to mention an average of 247.4 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 47th in D-1. They have an average of 220.7 yards per game via the rush and have run for 3,090 yards in total.

Indiana has allowed a total of 1,032 rushing yards (73.7 yards per game) in addition to 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the year. They have allowed 7 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 178.9 yards/game, which puts them in 18th in D-1. This year, they have conceded 144 pts. Their defense has tallied 8 fumbles and 17 picks this year. The Hoosiers defense has taken the field for 781 plays, which is 14th in the country. The Hoosiers are relinquishing 10.3 points per game, which has them ranked 2nd in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Ducks/Hoosiers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Hoosiers -4.0

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