Sacramento State Hornets vs Central Michigan Chippewas Prediction, 11/11/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sacramento State Hornets vs Central Michigan Chippewas

Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Location: Kelly/Shorts Stadium in Mount Pleasant, MI

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Chippewas (-18.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Sacramento State Hornets (2-8) are on their way to Kelly/Shorts Stadium on Wednesday, November 11, 2026 where they will go up against the Central Michigan Chippewas (4-5). Sacramento State opens this matchup as 18.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 43.5.

The Sacramento State Hornets come into this matchup with a record of 2-8 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Hornets faced the Toledo Rockets and took a loss by a score of 20-17. When all was said and done, they ran 64 plays which converted into 224 yds. The Sacramento State Hornets ended up rushing 31 times and accumulated 8 yards, which had them averaging 0.3 yds per attempt. In the running game, the Hornets gave up 230 yds on 49 attempts, which calculates to 4.7 yards per run allowed. Sacramento State allowed 9 completions on 17 attempts for 60 yds, and a completion percentage of 52.9%.

The Hornets have earned 2,887 total yards for the season. In terms of getting in the endzone, Sacramento State has compiled 10 touchdowns through the air and 7 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 16 times. Sacramento State has amassed 169 first downs offensively, and they have committed 76 penalties for 737 yards. As a unit they are averaging 97.6 yards on the ground which ranks them 134th in the country. Concerning scoring points, the Sacramento State Hornets are averaging 17.0 points per contest.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Hornets have given up 1,825 yards which puts them in 53rd in the country. They have relinquished 182.5 yards per game via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 62.2%. In total, they have relinquished 356.4 yards per contest which puts them 66th in the nation. They have yielded 12 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 23 touchdowns running the ball. They are giving up 4.7 yards per running attempt and 173.9 rushing yards per game so far this year. In total, they have conceded 1,739 rushing yards through 10 games. The Hornets are ranked 108th in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, giving up 29.3 points per game.

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The Chippewas head into this matchup 4-5 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Chippewas walked away with a victory by a final of 35-7 when they faced the Eastern Michigan Eagles. Central Michigan ran for 4.4 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 235 yards on 53 attempts. The Chippewas finished the contest with a total of 418 yds on 75 plays (5.6 yds per play). The Chippewas secondary gave up a completion percentage of 73.9%, surrendering 103 yards on 17 for 23 through the air. Central Michigan gave up 21 run attempts for 74 yds (3.5 yds per carry).

The Central Michigan Chippewas have an average of 305.6 yards per outing, ranking them 130th in Division 1. The Central Michigan offense has compiled 499 penalty yards on 55 infractions, which ranks them 83rd in college football in terms of helping out the opposition. They are averaging 176.6 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 1,589 yards for this year. They have tossed 5 picks while conceding 6 fumbles and they have obtained 151 first downs. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Chippewas currently rank 123rd in Division 1 holding an average of 19.8 PPG. During this campaign so far, the Chippewas have thrown for a total of 1,161 passing yards as well as an average of 129.0 passing yards per game, ranking them 134th in the country.

The Chippewas are giving up 23.8 points per contest, which has them ranked 63rd in Division 1. Central Michigan has given up a total of 1,503 yards on the ground (167.0 yards/game) and 16 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. They have yielded 11 touchdowns through the air as well as 171.6 yards/outing, which has them ranked 13th in college football. The Chippewas defense has been on the field for 559 plays, ranking them 32nd in Division 1. Their defense has 5 fumbles and 9 interceptions over the course of the season. This season, they have allowed 214 total points.

Who will win tonight's Hornets/Chippewas college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Hornets +18.5

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