Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears Prediction, 10/27/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears

Date: Tuesday, October 27, 2026

Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium in Springfield, MO

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Missouri State Bears (2-5) will compete against the Sam Houston Bearkats (1-6) at Robert W. Plaster Stadium on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Missouri State opens this game as 5.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 48.5.

The Sam Houston Bearkats step onto the field holding a record of 1-6 for this season. In their last matchup, the Bearkats faced off with the New Mexico State Aggies and ended up losing by a score of 30-24. On the ground, the Bearkats gave up 203 yds on 42 tries, which averages out to 4.8 yards per run allowed. Sam Houston conceded 19 completions on 29 attempts for a total of 160 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.5%. At the end of the game, they ran 53 plays for 246 yds. The Sam Houston Bearkats ended up running the ball 20 different times and totaled 11 yards, which came out to an average of 0.6 yards per attempt.

The Bearkats have earned 2,298 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Sam Houston has earned 13 touchdowns via the pass and 4 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 8 different times. Sam Houston has amassed 112 first downs, and they have been flagged for 60 infractions for 522 yards. As a unit they average 83.0 yards via the ground game which is 138th in the country. When talking about scoring, the Sam Houston Bearkats have an average of 20.1 PPG.

The Bearkats rank 81st in the country when it comes to team defense, allowing 25.3 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.1 yards per attempt on the ground and 200.7 rushing yards per game so far this season. Over the course of this season, they have given up 1,405 running yards through 7 games. When talking about yards through the air, the Bearkats have given up 987 yards which ranks them 2nd in the nation. They have conceded 141.0 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 52.7%. Overall, they are granting 341.7 yards/outing ranking them 55th in the country. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns through the air as well as 12 touchdowns pounding the rock.

Get all of our College Football Expert Picks

The Bears come into this game with a record of 2-5 this season. In their last game, the Bears took a defeat with a final score of 61-38 when they faced the Delaware Blue Hens. The Bears finished with a total of 431 yards while they ran 58 plays (7.4 yards per play). Missouri State ended up running for 4.1 yards per tote, finishing with 94 yards on 23 attempts. Missouri State relinquished 42 rushing attempts for 232 yards (5.5 yards per rush). The Bears pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 66.7%, relinquishing 250 yards on 22 for 33 passing.

In relation to this team's ability to score points, the Bears currently rank 98th in the country holding an average of 24.4 PPG. The Missouri State Bears are averaging 367.6 yards/outing, which ranks them 90th in the country. The Missouri State offense has racked up 494 yards of penalties on 62 infractions, which is 15th in D-1 in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 6 interceptions while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 134 first downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Bears have compiled 1,685 yards through the air as well as an average of 240.7 passing yards per game, putting them at 55th in college football. They have an average of 126.9 yards per game via the rush and have run for 888 yards for the season.

The Bears are giving up 34.9 points per contest, which has them sitting 130th in D-1. Missouri State has surrendered a total of 1,291 yards rushing (184.4 yards per game) in addition to 15 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the campaign. They have allowed 16 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 250.1 yards per game, which has them in 116th in D-1. The Bears defense has taken part in 502 plays, which is good for 104th in Division 1. They have totaled 4 fumbles recovered and 3 interceptions so far this year. This season, they have conceded 244 points.

Who will win tonight's Bearkats/Bears college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bears -5.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college football picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.