San Diego State Aztecs vs Toledo Rockets Prediction, 9/26/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Toledo Rockets

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026

Location: Glass Bowl in Toledo, OH

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Rockets (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Toledo Rockets (2-1) will take on the San Diego State Aztecs (1-2) at Glass Bowl on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Toledo opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The total is set at 48.5.

The San Diego State Aztecs head into this matchup 1-2 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Aztecs stepped onto the field against the James Madison Dukes and ended up losing by a score of 26-13. The San Diego State Aztecs ran the football 44 different times and accounted for 192 yards, which earned them an average of 4.4 yds per attempt. Overall, they tallied 77 plays which gave them a total of 401 yds. San Diego State surrendered 19 pass completions on 27 attempts for 246 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.4%. Against the rush, the Aztecs gave up 171 yds on 47 attempts, which averages out to 3.6 yds per rush surrendered.

The Aztecs have earned 984 total yards this year. In terms of getting in the endzone, San Diego State has earned 4 passing touchdowns and 5 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 6 times. San Diego State has a total of 57 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 17 infractions for 147 yards. As a team they hold an average of 191.0 yards on the ground which has them sitting 45th in the country. Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the San Diego State Aztecs are sitting at 25.3 points per contest.

The Aztecs sit in 88th in Division 1 in terms of the opposition scoring, allowing 24.7 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.0 yards per attempt on the ground and 160.0 yards on the ground per game this season. For the year, they have given up 480 rushing yards through 3 games. In terms of yards via the pass, the Aztecs have conceded 677 yds which has them ranked 90th in the nation. They have allowed 225.7 yards per game via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 62.6%. In total, they are conceding 385.7 yards per game which puts them 105th in the nation. They have yielded 3 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 6 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Rockets come into this game with a record of 2-1 for this year. In their last game, the Rockets got the victory with a final of 49-48 against the Temple Owls. Toledo ran the football for 4.3 yards per carry, finishing with 107 yards on 25 carries. The Rockets finished with a total of 536 yards and they ran 76 plays (7.1 yds per play). The Rockets pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 52.2%, relinquishing 164 yds on 12 out of 23 passing. Toledo conceded 49 attempts on the ground for 261 yds (5.3 yards per rush).

The Toledo Rockets average 459.3 yards/game, which is good for 40th in the country. The Toledo offense has totaled 134 yds of penalties on 18 infractions, which ranks 85th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. They maintain an average of 146.7 yards per game on the ground and have run for 440 yards in total. They have given away 2 picks while conceding 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 65 first downs. In relation to how much they score, the Rockets sit 19th in Division 1 scoring 44.0 PPG. For the year so far, the Rockets currently sit at 938 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 312.7 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 17th in Division 1.

Toledo has given up a total of 484 yards via the ground game (161.3 yards/game) in addition to 4 touchdowns rushing for the year. They have allowed 4 touchdowns via the pass and 159.0 yards/outing, ranking them 26th in college football. This season, they have allowed 88 points. Their defense has 1 fumble and 1 pick so far this season. The Rockets defense has been on the field for 213 plays, which has them ranked 112th in D-1. The Rockets are conceding 29.3 PPG, which puts them 112th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Aztecs/Rockets college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Aztecs +2.5

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