Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers Prediction, 11/14/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers

Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026

Location: Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, LA

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

Tiger Stadium is where the LSU Tigers (6-3) will attempt to beat the Texas Longhorns (7-2) on Saturday, November 14, 2026. Texas is 4.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 45.5.

The Texas Longhorns come into this game with a record of 7-2 this year. In their last contest, the Longhorns played against the Missouri Tigers and walked away with a win by a score of 34-20. In the running game, the Longhorns conceded 84 yards on 24 tries, which calculates to 3.5 yards per rush surrendered. Texas conceded 23 completions on 44 tries for 252 yards, and a completion rate of 52.3%. For the game, they tallied 69 plays which converted into 373 yds. The Texas Longhorns ended up running the ball 31 different times and tallied 76 yards, which came out to an average of 2.5 yards per tote.

When it comes to scoring, the Texas Longhorns are sitting at 31.1 PPG. As a unit they're averaging 128.8 yards rushing which is 108th in Division 1. The Longhorns have tallied 3,246 total yards this year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Texas has earned 18 touchdowns through the air and 13 rushing touchdowns. Texas has accounted for 178 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 60 penalties for 567 yds. They have turned the ball over 14 different times.

The Longhorns rank 19th in the nation regarding the opposition scoring, giving up 17.4 PPG. The opposition is running for 2.9 yards per rushing attempt and 100.3 rushing yards per game this season. For the year, they have given up 903 yards via the running game in 9 contests. Concerning passing yardage, the Longhorns have conceded 1,618 yds which ranks them 19th in Division 1. They have conceded 179.8 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 57.7%. In total, they have yielded 280.1 yards per contest putting them at 10th in college football. They have yielded 8 touchdowns by air and 4 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Tigers come into this game with a record of 6-3 for this year. In their last game, the Tigers went home defeated by a final of 31-13 against the Alabama Crimson Tide. The Tigers finished with 457 yards while running 81 plays (5.6 yds per play). LSU ran the ball for 2.3 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 77 yards on 33 attempts. LSU gave up 29 attempts on the ground for 79 yds (2.7 yards per rush). The Tigers secondary gave up a completion percentage of 70.8%, relinquishing 206 yds on 17 out of 24 passing.

When it comes to how much they score, the Tigers are sitting 18th in D-1 with 37.1 points per game. The LSU Tigers maintain an average of 504.1 yards/outing, ranking them 6th in Division 1. The LSU offense has 426 yds of penalties on 52 infractions, which ranks them 93rd in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 9 interceptions while losing 4 fumbles and they have been able to earn 251 1st downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Tigers have earned 2,924 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 324.9 throwing yards per contest, which is ranked 5th in college football. They average 179.2 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,613 yards for this season.

LSU has conceded a total of 762 yards rushing (84.7 yards/game) in addition to 10 touchdowns via the rush on the season. They have conceded 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 176.4 yards/outing, which has them ranked 17th in the country. Overall, they have conceded 159 points. Their defense has tallied 2 fumbles and 7 interceptions so far this season. The Tigers defense has been on the field for 537 plays, which is good for 12th in the nation. The Tigers are conceding 17.7 PPG, which has them 20th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Longhorns/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Longhorns +4.5

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