Texas Longhorns vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, 9/26/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Longhorns vs Tennessee Volunteers

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026

Location: Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, TN

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Volunteers (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 55.5

Neyland Stadium is the site where the Tennessee Volunteers (3-0) will take on the Texas Longhorns (3-0) on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Texas opens this matchup as 4.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 55.5.

The Texas Longhorns head into this game 3-0 for this season. In their last contest, the Longhorns faced the UTSA Roadrunners and went home with a win by a final score of 30-6. The Texas Longhorns ended up running the ball 48 different times and accounted for 228 yards, which is an average of 4.8 yards per attempt. Overall, they ran 83 plays which gave them a total of 400 yds. Texas surrendered 14 completions on 23 tries for 70 yds, and a completion rate of 60.9%. In the running game, the Longhorns gave up 72 yds on 24 tries, which averages out to 3.0 yards per run allowed.

The Longhorns have earned 1,252 total yards this season. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Texas has amassed 7 touchdowns through the air and 6 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 3 different times. Texas has compiled 78 1st downs, and they have been called for 14 infractions for 135 yards. As a team they're averaging 175.0 yards via the ground game which ranks them 55th in Division 1. When talking about scoring points, the Texas Longhorns hold an average of 37.7 PPG.

Concerning passing yardage, the Longhorns have allowed 536 yards which puts them in 44th in college football. They have given up 178.7 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 60.7%. During this campaign, they have relinquished 287.7 yards/game which puts them 41st in the nation. They have granted 1 touchdown via the pass and 2 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing 3.4 yards per running attempt and 109.0 rushing yards per contest for the season. In total, they have conceded 327 yards on the ground through 3 outings. The Longhorns sit in 17th in Division 1 regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 12.0 PPG.

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The Volunteers head into this matchup 3-0 for this season. For their last game, the Volunteers got the win with a final of 42-9 against the Kennesaw State Owls. Tennessee ran for 6.5 yards per tote, finishing with 268 yards on 41 attempts. The Volunteers finished the game with a total of 446 yds and they ran 67 plays (6.7 yds per play). The Volunteers secondary allowed a completion rate of 64.7%, relinquishing 189 yds on 22 for 34 through the air. Tennessee surrendered 30 attempts on the ground for 102 yards (3.4 yards per rush).

In relation to their ability to score points, the Volunteers rank 8th in the country by tallying 47.7 points per outing. The Tennessee Volunteers average 510.3 yards per contest, which ranks them 14th in the nation. The Tennessee offense has totaled 222 penalty yds on 24 violations, ranking them 30th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown no picks while conceding 3 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 79 1st downs. During this campaign thus far, the Volunteers have thrown for a total of 635 yards through the air not to mention an average of 211.7 passing yards per outing, which ranks 88th in the country. They maintain an average of 298.7 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 896 yards in total.

The Volunteers are relinquishing 14.0 points per game, which puts them 26th in Division 1. Tennessee has yielded a total of 414 yards via the ground game (138.0 yards/game) as well as 2 touchdowns on the ground so far this year. They have surrendered 1 touchdowns through the air as well as 151.0 yards/outing, which has them sitting 20th in Division 1. The Volunteers defense has been on the field for 193 plays, which has them ranked 72nd in the nation. Their defense has totaled 1 fumble recovered and 2 picks this year. In total, they have relinquished 42 total points.

Who will win tonight's Longhorns/Volunteers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Volunteers +4.5

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