Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 10/3/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026

Location: Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Aztecs (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

The Texas State Bobcats (2-2) are en route to Snapdragon Stadium on Saturday, October 3, 2026 where they will play the San Diego State Aztecs (1-3). San Diego State is 4.5-point dogs. The total is set at 58.5.

The Texas State Bobcats come into this game with a record of 2-2 this season. In their last contest, the Bobcats faced the Incarnate Word Cardinals and notched a win by a score of 63-10. In all, they tallied 69 plays which gave them 658 yds. The Texas State Bobcats ran the ball 46 times and recorded 338 yards, which is an average of 7.3 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Bobcats gave up 75 yds on 37 attempts, which calculates to 2.0 yards per rush allowed. Texas State gave up 29 completions on 53 attempts for 283 yds, and a completion rate of 54.7%.

The Bobcats have earned 2,093 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Texas State has totaled 11 touchdowns through the air and 8 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 7 different times. Texas State has accounted for 100 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 24 penalties for 241 yds. As a unit they're holding an average of 281.3 yards rushing ranking them 6th in college football. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Texas State Bobcats are sitting at 36.3 points per contest.

The Bobcats are ranked 128th in the country when it comes to team defense, giving up 33.8 points per game. They are allowing 3.6 yards per rushing attempt and 121.0 rushing yards per contest this year. In total, they have allowed 484 yards via the ground game in 4 games. Regarding passing yards, the Bobcats have given up 1,393 yds which has them ranked 138th in the nation. They have conceded 348.3 yards per contest via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 67.7%. Overall, they are allowing 469.3 yards per outing which puts them 137th in Division 1. They have yielded 10 touchdowns via the pass and 7 touchdowns on the ground.

Get all of our Free College Football Picks

The Aztecs come into this game with a record of 1-3 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Aztecs walked away with a loss by a score of 41-16 when they played the Toledo Rockets. San Diego State ended up running for 1.5 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 48 yds on 31 carries. The Aztecs ended up finishing with 296 yards while running 68 plays (4.4 yds per play). The Aztecs secondary gave up a completion rate of 72.7%, surrendering 284 yards on 16 for 22 passing. San Diego State allowed 48 rushing attempts for 210 yards (4.4 yards per carry).

The San Diego State Aztecs hold an average of 320.0 yards/game, ranking them 124th in college football. The San Diego State offense has compiled 182 yds of penalties on 21 infractions, which ranks them 105th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They average 155.3 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 621 yards overall. They have given away 5 interceptions while losing 3 fumbles and they have earned 73 1st downs. When it comes to how much they score, the Aztecs rank 107th in D-1 scoring 23.0 PPG. Over the course of the season so far, the Aztecs have thrown for 659 yards via the pass as well as an average of 164.8 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 120th in Division 1.

The Aztecs are giving up 28.8 points per game, which has them 110th in Division 1. San Diego State has surrendered a total of 690 yards rushing (172.5 yards per contest) as well as 7 touchdowns via the rush on the year. They have given up 6 touchdowns via the pass as well as 240.3 yards/outing, which has them in 111th in college football. The Aztecs defense has been on the field for 292 plays, which ranks 128th in the country. Their defense has compiled 2 fumbles recovered and 3 picks so far this year. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 115 points.

Who will win tonight's Bobcats/Aztecs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bobcats -4.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college football picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.