Texas State Bobcats vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, 9/5/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas State Bobcats vs Texas Longhorns

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026

Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Longhorns (-31.5)

Total/Over-Under: 59

The Texas Longhorns (10-3 last year) will go up against the Texas State Bobcats (7-6 last season) at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Texas State opens this contest as 31.5-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 59.

The Texas State Bobcats finished the year with a 7-6 mark. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Bobcats faced off with the Rice Owls and walked away with a win by a score of 41-10. The Texas State Bobcats ran the ball a total of 41 times and amassed 241 yds, earning them an average of 5.9 yards per attempt. For the game, they ran 67 plays which totaled 437 yds. Texas State relinquished 13 completions on 21 tries for a total of 94 yards, and a completion rate of 61.9%. On the ground, the Bobcats gave up 102 yds on 44 tries, which is 2.3 yds per run surrendered.

The Bobcats racked up 6,146 total yards over the course of last year. Texas State totaled 21 touchdowns through the air and 36 touchdowns on the ground. They surrendered the ball 16 times. Texas State accounted for 300 1st downs offensively, and they were flagged for 91 penalties for 798 yds. As a team they held an average of 222.1 yds via the ground game, which was 10th in college football. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Texas State Bobcats had an average of 36.5 PPG.

The Bobcats were ranked 95th in college football in terms of their opponents scoring, giving up 29.0 PPG. The opposition ran for 4.2 yards per attempt on the ground and 164.8 rushing yards per game last year. Over the course of last year, they conceded 2,142 rushing yards through 13 games. Regarding yards via the pass, the Bobcats conceded 2,835 yds which had them sitting in 75th in college football. In their 13 games, they gave up 218.1 yards per outing through the air as well as relinquishing a completion percentage of 66.3%. They gave up 382.9 yards per outing ranking them 79th in the country. They granted 23 passing touchdowns as well as 25 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Longhorns ended the year having a 10-3 record. When they last stepped on the field, the Longhorns got the victory with a final of 41-27 against the Michigan Wolverines. Texas gave up 38 rush attempts for 174 yds (4.6 yards per carry). The Longhorns pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 53.5%, relinquishing 199 yds on 23 out of 43 passing. The Longhorns finished the contest with a total of 456 yds while they ran 67 plays (6.8 yards per play). Texas ran for 7.1 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 235 yards on 33 carries.

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Longhorns sat 41st in the country averaging 30.5 PPG. The Texas Longhorns maintained an average of 388.5 yards per contest, which ranked them 70th in college football. The Texas offense had 906 yards of penalties on 108 infractions, which had them ranked 3rd in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They tossed 7 picks while losing 3 fumbles and they obtained 247 first downs. For the previous season, the Longhorns threw for a total of 3,259 yards through the air along with averaging 250.7 passing yards per contest, which had them ranked 44th in D-1. They held an average of 137.8 rushing yards per game and ran for 1,791 yards overall.

The Longhorns allowed 20.3 points per game, ranking them 28th in Division 1. Texas gave up a total of 1,351 rushing yards (103.9 yards per game) in addition to 13 touchdowns via the rush last season. They conceded 18 touchdowns via the pass and 234.9 yards per outing, which had them ranked 97th in the country. The Longhorns defense took the field for 894 plays, which had them ranked 103rd in the country. They totaled 7 fumbles recovered and 16 picks in the previous season. Over the course of the season, they relinquished 264 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bobcats/Longhorns college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Longhorns -31.5

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