Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, 9/4/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans

Date: Friday, September 4, 2026

Location: Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, MI

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Spartans (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

Spartan Stadium is the site where the Michigan State Spartans (4-8 last season) will attempt to defeat the Toledo Rockets (8-5 last year) on Friday, September 4, 2026. Toledo opens this game as 10.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over/under is 46.5.

The Toledo Rockets ended the season holding a 8-5 record. In their last matchup, the Rockets faced the Louisville Cardinals and ended up losing by a score of 27-22. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Rockets conceded 180 yards on 36 attempts, which is an average of 5.0 yards per rush allowed. Toledo allowed 16 pass completions on 24 tries for a total of 153 yards, and a completion rate of 66.7%. On the day, they had 68 plays which gave them 336 yds. The Toledo Rockets ran the football 40 times and recorded 169 yds, which earned them an average of 4.2 yards per tote.

Regarding getting in the endzone, the Toledo Rockets held an average of 30.8 points per game. As a team they had an average of 177.2 yds via the ground game, which was 41st in Division 1. The Rockets had 5,398 yards in total over the course of last season. Toledo totaled 27 passing touchdowns and 22 rushing touchdowns. Toledo recorded 276 1st downs as an offense, and they were called for 111 penalties for 971 yds. They turned the football over 16 different times.

The Rockets ranked 4th in D-1 concerning their opponents scoring, conceding 13.3 points per game. Opposing teams ran for an average of 2.7 yards per rushing attempt and 96.3 rushing yards per contest last season. In total, they conceded 1,252 running yards through 13 contests. In terms of yards through the air, the Rockets allowed 2,054 yds which had them ranked 4th in Division 1. Over the course of their 13 games, they gave up 158.0 yards per game through the air as well as surrendering a completion percentage of 50.0%. They allowed 254.3 yards per contest which ranked them 2nd in college football. They conceded 10 touchdowns through the air as well as 10 touchdowns on the ground.

Get all of our Free College Football Picks

The Spartans finished the season with a 4-8 mark. In their last game, the Spartans got the win with a final of 38-28 when they played the Maryland Terrapins. Michigan State ran for 5.2 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 161 yards on 31 attempts. The Spartans finished the contest with a total of 453 yds while they ran 70 plays (6.5 yards per play). The Spartans secondary allowed a completion rate of 62.3%, surrendering 459 yards on 38 out of 61 through the air. Michigan State conceded 16 running attempts for 75 yards (4.7 yards per rush).

The Michigan State Spartans held an average of 345.5 yards per outing, which had them ranked 99th in D-1. The Michigan State offense totaled 544 yds of penalties on 64 infractions, which was good for 107th in the nation in terms of hurting your team. They maintained an average of 122.8 rushing yards per game and toted the ball for 1,474 yards overall. They gave away 6 picks while losing 6 fumbles and they tallied 227 1st downs. When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Spartans had a ranking of 89th in Division 1 holding an average of 24.6 PPG. Last season, the Spartans had a total of 2,672 passing yards along with averaging 222.7 passing yards per game, which had them ranked 70th in Division 1.

The Spartans conceded 29.9 points per contest, which had them sitting 104th in college football. Michigan State gave up a total of 1,768 yards rushing (147.3 yards per outing) and 22 touchdowns by way of the ground game over the course of last season. They conceded 23 touchdowns via the pass as well as 231.3 yards/game, which had them sitting 93rd in the nation. The Spartans defense took the field for 761 plays, which had them ranked 8th in D-1. They tallied 4 fumbles and 5 picks last year. Over the course of the season, they allowed 359 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Rockets/Spartans college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rockets +10.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college football picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.