Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction, 11/14/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars

Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026

Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, AL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 55.5

The South Alabama Jaguars (4-5) welcome the Troy Trojans (4-5) at Hancock Whitney Stadium on Saturday, November 14, 2026. Troy opens this matchup as 3.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 55.5.

The Troy Trojans head into this matchup 4-5 for this season. In their last matchup, the Trojans played the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and took a loss by a final of 41-17. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Trojans conceded 106 yds on 38 attempts, which is an average of 2.8 yds per run allowed. Troy relinquished 24 pass completions on 29 tries for a total of 245 yds, and a completion rate of 82.8%. In all, they ran 65 plays which gave them 262 yards. The Troy Trojans ran the football 32 times and compiled 47 yards, which is an average of 1.5 yards per attempt.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Troy Trojans are averaging 22.3 points per game. Offensively they hold an average of 177.6 yards on the ground which is 40th in the country. The Trojans have earned 3,227 yards in total this season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Troy has totaled 10 passing touchdowns and 13 touchdowns on the ground. Troy has a total of 171 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 64 penalties for 614 yds. They have surrendered the football 15 times.

The Trojans are sitting in 83rd in college football concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 26.2 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.9 yards per rush and 130.3 yards on the ground per contest for the season. For the season, they have allowed 1,173 running yards through 9 outings. Concerning yards through the air, the Trojans have allowed 1,930 yards which ranks them 65th in college football. They are conceding 214.4 yards per game via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 63.4%. Overall, they have relinquished 344.8 yards per outing which puts them 53rd in the country. They have allowed 17 touchdowns through the air and 11 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Jaguars step onto the field holding a record of 4-5 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Jaguars walked away with a loss by a score of 28-26 when they played the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns. South Alabama ran the ball for 4.5 yds per carry, totaling 159 yards on 35 carries. The Jaguars ended up finishing with 369 yds while running 57 plays (6.5 yds per play). The Jaguars passing defense conceded a completion rate of 71.4%, relinquishing 147 yards on 10 for 14 passing. South Alabama allowed 44 rushing attempts for 312 yds (7.1 yards per rush).

The South Alabama Jaguars hold an average of 413.2 yards/outing, ranking them 44th in D-1. The South Alabama offense has racked up 544 yards of penalties on 64 violations, which ranks 45th in D-1 in terms of hurting your team. They are averaging 207.1 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,864 yards in total. They have given away 5 picks while losing 2 fumbles and they have earned 193 1st downs. Concerning the points being put on the board, the Jaguars are sitting 41st in the country by scoring 32.4 PPG. For the year so far, the Jaguars have compiled 1,855 passing yards together with an average of 206.1 passing yards per game, ranking them 94th in the country.

The Jaguars are conceding 32.2 points per contest, which has them ranked 123rd in college football. South Alabama has allowed a total of 1,565 yards rushing (173.9 yards/game) and 19 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. They have allowed 20 touchdowns through the air as well as 234.6 yards/contest, which has them sitting 104th in the nation. The Jaguars defense has taken the field for 535 plays, which has them ranked 10th in D-1. Their defense has earned 5 fumbles recovered and 7 picks on the season. Overall, they have relinquished 290 points.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Jaguars college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Jaguars -3.5

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