UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 11/7/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026

Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Red Wolves (-14.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

Centennial Bank Stadium is where the Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-4) will take on the UL Monroe Warhawks (1-7) on Saturday, November 7, 2026. UL Monroe opens this contest as 14.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 52.5.

The UL Monroe Warhawks head into this game 1-7 for this season. In their last contest, the Warhawks played against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and ended up losing by a score of 35-21. The UL Monroe Warhawks ran the rock 44 times and amassed 157 yds, which had them averaging 3.6 yards per attempt. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 78 plays which converted into 359 yds. UL Monroe allowed 15 pass completions on 30 attempts for a total of 130 yds, and a completion rate of 50.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Warhawks conceded 249 yards on 42 attempts, which is 5.9 yards per rush allowed.

The Warhawks have earned 2,657 total yards this season. When it comes to scoring, UL Monroe has totaled 13 touchdowns via the pass and 7 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 11 times. UL Monroe has accounted for 146 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 41 infractions for 371 yds. As a team they're maintaining an average of 121.8 yards on the ground which is 112th in D-1. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the UL Monroe Warhawks have an average of 20.3 PPG.

The Warhawks rank 134th in college football when it comes to team defense, allowing 37.0 points per game. They are giving up an average of 5.2 yards per rushing attempt and 222.5 rushing yards per contest so far this year. Overall, they have given up 1,780 yards via the ground game in 8 games. In terms of yards via the pass, the Warhawks have allowed 1,698 yards which puts them in 65th in the nation. They have allowed 212.3 yards per contest through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 64.3%. Over the course of this year, they are allowing 434.8 yards/outing which has them sitting 131st in the nation. They have given up 16 touchdowns by air and 17 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Red Wolves come into this matchup with a record of 4-4 for this season. When they last played, the Red Wolves went home victorious with a score of 38-32 when they played the Georgia State Panthers. The Red Wolves ended up finishing with 469 yards while they ran 66 plays (7.1 yds per play). Arkansas State ran for 4.7 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 160 yards on 34 attempts. Arkansas State allowed 31 rush attempts for 201 yds (6.5 yds per rush). The Red Wolves pass defense allowed a completion rate of 69.0%, surrendering 228 yards on 20 out of 29 passing.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have an average of 378.9 yards per contest, which is good for 74th in Division 1. The Arkansas State offense has accrued 372 penalty yards on 40 infractions, which is 121st in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They average 136.4 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,091 yards for the season. They have thrown 6 interceptions while losing 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 170 1st downs. In terms of the points being put on the board, the Red Wolves currently sit 69th in D-1 scoring 28.8 PPG. During the season thus far, the Red Wolves have thrown for a total of 1,940 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 242.5 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 51st in D-1.

Arkansas State has given up a total of 1,564 yards on the ground (195.5 yards per game) in addition to 17 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have given up 11 touchdowns through the air and 190.5 yards per contest, which has them sitting 39th in college football. This year, they have surrendered 218 total points. Their defense has totaled 4 fumbles and 9 picks for the year. The Red Wolves defense has taken the field for 493 plays, which is 28th in D-1. The Red Wolves are relinquishing 27.3 PPG, which has them 97th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Warhawks/Red Wolves college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Wolves -14.5

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