UL Monroe Warhawks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 9/5/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UL Monroe Warhawks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-28.5)

Total/Over-Under: 54.5

The UL Monroe Warhawks (3-9 last season) are traveling to Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday, September 5, 2026 where they will attempt to beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-8 last year). Mississippi State opens as 28.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 54.5.

The UL Monroe Warhawks wrapped up their year holding a 3-9 record. The last time they took the field, the Warhawks took on the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 30-27. The UL Monroe Warhawks ran the football 43 different times and totaled 205 yds, earning them an average of 4.8 yds per attempt. In the game, they ran 76 plays which converted into 516 yds. UL Monroe surrendered 16 completions on 30 tries for a total of 126 yds, and a completion rate of 53.3%. Against the run, the Warhawks conceded 212 yards on 38 tries, which calculates to 5.6 yds per run surrendered.

The Warhawks racked up 3,882 total yards for the prior season. UL Monroe totaled 16 touchdowns via the pass and 12 rushing touchdowns. They turned the ball over 19 times. UL Monroe compiled 212 1st downs as a unit, and they were called for 88 infractions for 780 yards. As a team they averaged 163.1 yds on the ground, which ranked them 61st in D-1. When talking about getting in the endzone, the UL Monroe Warhawks averaged 16.6 PPG.

The Warhawks sat in 119th in the country when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 31.9 points per game. Opposing teams ran for an average of 4.3 yards per rush on the ground and 162.6 rushing yards per contest throughout last season. For the season, they allowed 1,951 rushing yards through 12 contests. When it comes to passing yardage, the Warhawks allowed 2,668 yds which ranked them 52nd in D-1. During their 12 games, they yielded 222.3 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 63.4%. They allowed 384.8 yards/outing which ranked them 82nd in D-1. They conceded 22 touchdowns through the air as well as 23 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bulldogs ended the season having a 5-8 record. In their last game, the Bulldogs took a loss by a score of 43-29 against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Mississippi State relinquished 35 attempts on the ground for 148 yards (4.2 yards per carry). The Bulldogs secondary gave up a completion rate of 60.6%, surrendering 303 yds on 20 out of 33 passing. The Bulldogs finished the contest with a total of 408 yards while running 69 plays (5.9 yards per play). Mississippi State rushed the ball for 2.7 yards per carry, totaling 114 yds on 42 attempts.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs averaged 399.2 yards per contest, which had them ranked 56th in college football. The Mississippi State offense totaled 800 yards of penalties on 94 violations, which was good for 22nd in college football in terms of helping out the opposition. They had an average of 158.0 yards per game via the rush and toted the ball for 2,054 yards in total. They gave away 9 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 7 fumbles and they obtained 285 1st downs. When looking at how much they scored, the Bulldogs were ranked 42nd in college football averaging 30.4 points per outing. Last year, the Bulldogs compiled 3,136 yards through the air together with averaging 241.2 passing yards per game, which was ranked 54th in college football.

The Bulldogs allowed 30.2 points per contest, which put them in 106th in the nation. Mississippi State yielded a total of 2,422 yards rushing (186.3 yards/game) and 20 touchdowns by way of the ground game throughout last year. They conceded 23 touchdowns through the air in addition to 223.0 yards/game, which put them in 78th in college football. The Bulldogs defense took part in 893 plays, which ranked 102nd in the country. Their defense compiled 5 fumbles recovered and 13 picks in the previous season. Overall, they conceded 393 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Warhawks/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -28.5

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