UMass Minutemen vs Buffalo Bulls Prediction, 10/17/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs Buffalo Bulls

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

Location: Broadview Stadium in Buffalo, NY

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bulls (-6.0)

Total/Over-Under: 41.5

Broadview Stadium is the location where the Buffalo Bulls (3-3) will attempt to beat the UMass Minutemen (4-2) on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Buffalo is 6-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 41.5.

The UMass Minutemen step onto the field holding a record of 4-2 this season. In their last game, the Minutemen played the Miami RedHawks and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 20-19. The UMass Minutemen ran the ball 30 different times and totaled 65 yards, which came out to an average of 2.2 yds per carry. When all was said and done, they ran 65 plays which converted into 319 yards. UMass conceded 6 pass completions on 21 tries for a total of 95 yds, and a completion percentage of 28.6%. On the ground, the Minutemen gave up 165 yards on 36 tries, which calculates to 4.6 yds per run surrendered.

In terms of scoring points, the UMass Minutemen are averaging 29.7 points per contest. Offensively they're averaging 158.3 yards on the ground which ranks them 68th in the nation. The Minutemen have earned 2,035 total yards for the season. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, UMass has totaled 8 touchdowns through the air and 11 touchdowns via the ground. UMass has compiled 98 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 45 infractions for 387 yds. They have surrendered the ball 4 times.

Concerning passing yards, the Minutemen have allowed 1,148 yards which ranks them 67th in the nation. They have yielded 191.3 yards per contest through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 56.5%. Overall, they are granting 300.7 yards per game which puts them 27th in the nation. They have granted 7 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 6 touchdowns running the ball. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.2 yards per tote and 109.3 yards on the ground per contest so far this season. In total, they have allowed 656 rushing yards through 6 games. The Minutemen are ranked 31st in the country when it comes to team defense, allowing 18.2 points per game.

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The Bulls step onto the field holding a record of 3-3 for this season. For their last game, the Bulls took home the win by a final score of 23-8 when they faced the Toledo Rockets. Buffalo allowed 26 attempts on the ground for 101 yds (3.9 yds per rush). The Bulls passing defense gave up a completion rate of 62.9%, relinquishing 203 yds on 22 out of 35 through the air. The Bulls ended up finishing with 351 yds while they ran 78 plays (4.5 yds per play). Buffalo ran the football for 3.8 yds per carry, finishing with 180 yds on 47 attempts.

The Buffalo Bulls maintain an average of 318.8 yards per outing, ranking them 119th in D-1. The Buffalo offense has accrued 347 yds of penalties on 36 violations, ranking them 77th in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have an average of 156.2 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 937 yards in total. They have thrown 3 interceptions while surrendering 6 fumbles and they have been able to earn 114 1st downs. In terms of putting points on the board, the Bulls currently rank 115th in Division 1 averaging 20.8 points per outing. During this campaign thus far, the Bulls have earned 976 passing yards not to mention an average of 162.7 passing yards per outing, which ranks 126th in the country.

The Bulls are allowing 26.8 points per game, which has them 99th in the country. Buffalo has yielded a total of 899 rushing yards (149.8 yards per outing) as well as 10 touchdowns rushing so far this season. They have yielded 9 touchdowns through the air as well as 239.5 yards/contest, which has them ranked 109th in college football. The Bulls defense has been on the field for 390 plays, which is good for 104th in D-1. They have 4 fumbles recovered and 1 interception on the campaign. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 161 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Minutemen/Bulls college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bulls -6.0

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