UMass Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets Prediction, 11/11/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets

Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Location: Glass Bowl in Toledo, OH

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Rockets (-15.0)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

Glass Bowl is the location where the Toledo Rockets (7-2) will play the UMass Minutemen (5-4) on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Toledo opens this contest as 15-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 51.5.

The UMass Minutemen step onto the field holding a record of 5-4 for this year. In their last contest, the Minutemen played the Ball State Cardinals and walked away with a win by a score of 31-30. At the end of the game, they tallied 64 plays which converted into 455 yards. The UMass Minutemen rushed the ball a total of 39 times and accrued 153 yards, which is an average of 3.9 yards per attempt. Against the rush, the Minutemen conceded 168 yards on 37 tries, which is an average of 4.5 yds per run surrendered. UMass relinquished 17 pass completions on 27 tries for a total of 182 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.0%.

The Minutemen have earned 3,132 total yards for the season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, UMass has compiled 10 touchdowns through the air and 17 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 8 times. UMass has amassed 152 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 68 infractions for 594 yds. As a team they have an average of 147.4 yards rushing ranking them 78th in the nation. Regarding scoring points, the UMass Minutemen have an average of 27.0 PPG.

When it comes to passing yardage, the Minutemen have given up 1,637 yds which has them ranked 20th in college football. They have yielded 181.9 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 56.9%. During the season, they have surrendered 327.0 yards/game putting them at 37th in Division 1. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 11 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 3.9 yards per rushing attempt and 145.1 rushing yards per contest for the year. For the year, they have allowed 1,306 yards on the ground through 9 contests. The Minutemen sit in 49th in Division 1 regarding their opponents scoring, conceding 22.1 points per game.

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The Rockets come into this game with a record of 7-2 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Rockets walked away with a victory by a final of 20-17 against the Sacramento State Hornets. The Rockets finished the contest with 290 yards and they ran 66 plays (4.4 yds per play). Toledo ran the ball for 4.7 yards per tote, totaling 230 yards on 49 carries. Toledo allowed 31 attempts on the ground for 8 yds (0.3 yards per rush). The Rockets pass defense gave up a completion rate of 60.6%, surrendering 216 yards on 20 for 33 through the air.

The Toledo Rockets hold an average of 454.9 yards per game, which ranks them 17th in college football. The Toledo offense has totaled 627 yds of penalties on 73 violations, which has them sitting 19th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. They have an average of 192.1 run yards per game and have run for 1,729 yards for the season. They have thrown 4 picks while letting opponents recover 7 fumbles and they have recorded 197 first downs. When looking at their ability to score points, the Rockets currently sit 23rd in college football averaging 35.4 points per contest. For the season thus far, the Rockets currently sit at 2,365 passing yards as well as an average of 262.8 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 29th in Division 1.

Toledo has conceded a total of 1,027 yards via the ground game (114.1 yards/game) in addition to 10 touchdowns on the ground on the year. They have given up 13 touchdowns through the air as well as 200.2 yards per outing, which puts them in 51st in D-1. In total, they have surrendered 220 total points. They have tallied 7 fumbles recovered and 5 picks on the campaign. The Rockets defense has been on the field for 618 plays, which has them ranked 109th in the country. The Rockets are conceding 24.4 points per contest, which has them ranked 67th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Minutemen/Rockets college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rockets -15.0

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