UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 10/17/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

Location: Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy, CO

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Air Force Falcons (4-1) will compete against the UNLV Rebels (4-2) at Falcon Stadium on Saturday, October 17, 2026. UNLV opens this contest as 1.5-point dogs. The total has been set at 46.5.

The UNLV Rebels step onto the field holding a record of 4-2 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Rebels took the field against the North Dakota State Bison and went home with a win by a final score of 13-7. Against the rush, the Rebels gave up 176 yards on 39 attempts, which calculates to 4.5 yds per run allowed. UNLV conceded 12 pass completions on 22 tries for a total of 124 yds, and a completion rate of 54.5%. In the game, they tallied 64 plays which gave them 255 yards. The UNLV Rebels ended up rushing 48 times and compiled 178 yards, which came out to an average of 3.7 yards per attempt.

The Rebels have attained 2,218 total yards for the season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, UNLV has totaled 8 touchdowns via the pass and 7 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 7 different times. UNLV has accounted for 115 first downs offensively, and they have committed 43 infractions for 429 yds. As a team they maintain an average of 178.2 yards in the run game which is 53rd in the nation. In terms of scoring, the UNLV Rebels are sitting at 23.0 points per outing.

When it comes to passing yardage, the Rebels have conceded 1,373 yards which ranks them 106th in Division 1. They are allowing 228.8 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 55.0%. In total, they have given up 370.2 yards per outing which ranks them 89th in college football. They have yielded 8 touchdowns by air and 6 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up 4.2 yards per attempt on the ground and 141.3 rushing yards per game on the year. During the season, they have allowed 848 running yards through 6 outings. The Rebels are sitting in 47th in college football in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 20.8 PPG.

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The Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 4-1 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Falcons walked away with a victory by a final of 14-9 against the Navy Midshipmen. Air Force relinquished 30 rushing attempts for 110 yards (3.7 yards per rush). The Falcons passing defense gave up a completion rate of 44.4%, relinquishing 143 yds on 8 out of 18 through the air. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 270 yards on 71 plays (3.8 yds per play). Air Force ran the ball for 3.2 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 188 yds on 59 carries.

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Falcons rank 71st in college football scoring 28.8 points per game. The Air Force Falcons hold an average of 400.0 yards/outing, which has them sitting 66th in the country. The Air Force offense has racked up 239 penalty yds on 27 violations, which is 120th in college football in terms of helping out the other team. They have thrown 4 interceptions while losing 0 fumbles and they have earned 116 first downs. During the season thus far, the Falcons have racked up 372 passing yards in addition to an average of 74.4 passing yards per game, which is ranked 138th in college football. They hold an average of 325.6 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,628 yards for the year.

Air Force has surrendered a total of 610 yards on the ground (122.0 yards per game) and 7 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. They have conceded 3 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 157.6 yards per outing, which has them sitting 15th in college football. This season, they have allowed 87 points in total. Their defense has tallied 1 fumble recovery and 4 picks for the year. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 260 plays, which ranks 1st in D-1. The Falcons are giving up 17.4 PPG, ranking them 27th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rebels +1.5

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