UNLV Rebels vs Hawaii Warriors Prediction, 9/5/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNLV Rebels vs Hawaii Warriors

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026

Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, HI

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Warriors (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 58

Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex is where the Hawaii Warriors (9-4 last season) will go up against the UNLV Rebels (10-4 last year) on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Hawaii opens as 2.5-point underdogs. The total comes in at 58.

The UNLV Rebels wrapped up their year with a 10-4 record. In their last game, the Rebels played the Memphis Tigers and went home with a loss by a final score of 27-21. Overall, they ran 79 plays which gave them a total of 460 yards. The UNLV Rebels rushed the ball a total of 41 times and compiled 169 yds, which came out to an average of 4.1 yards per tote. Against the run, the Rebels gave up 195 yards on 34 tries, which calculates to 5.7 yards per rush allowed. UNLV surrendered 15 completions on 26 tries for 223 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.7%.

In terms of scoring points, the UNLV Rebels were sitting at 34.1 PPG. As a unit they averaged 195.5 yards rushing, which was 23rd in D-1. The Rebels racked up 6,250 total yards for last year. UNLV amassed 24 touchdowns via the pass and 34 rushing touchdowns. UNLV totaled 325 1st downs offensively, and they were called for 106 penalties for 927 yds. They turned the ball over 17 different times.

Regarding passing yards, the Rebels conceded 3,384 yards which put them in 130th in the country. During their 14 games played, they surrendered 241.7 yards per outing via the pass and surrendering a completion percentage of 59.9%. They gave up 419.1 yards per contest ranking them 117th in D-1. They gave up 22 touchdowns through the air in addition to 24 touchdowns via the ground game. They gave up an average of 5.2 yards per run and 177.4 yards on the ground per game last season. In total, they gave up 2,484 yards via the running game in 14 contests. The Rebels ranked 89th in Division 1 when it comes to their opponents scoring, giving up 28.0 points per game.

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The Warriors ended the season having earned a 9-4 record. The last time they took the field, the Warriors went home defeated by a final of 37-27 when they faced the Stanford Cardinal. Hawaii gave up 37 attempts on the ground for 173 yds (4.7 yds per rush). The Warriors pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 64.7%, relinquishing 310 yds on 22 for 34 through the air. The Warriors finished the game with 325 yds while running 75 plays (4.3 yds per play). Hawaii ran the ball for 2.1 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 46 yards on 22 carries.

When looking at how much they scored, the Warriors ranked 57th in the country scoring 29.0 points per outing. The Hawaii Warriors averaged 393.8 yards/game, which was good for 62nd in the nation. The Hawaii offense had 855 yards of penalties on 100 violations, which had them sitting 10th in D-1 in terms of hurting your team. They gave away 12 picks while conceding 7 fumbles and they earned 267 1st downs. Last season, the Warriors racked up 3,778 yards via the pass not to mention averaging 290.6 throwing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 8th in the nation. They averaged 103.2 run yards per game and toted the ball for 1,342 yards for the season.

Hawaii conceded a total of 1,739 yards rushing (133.8 yards per contest) and 20 touchdowns on the ground throughout last year. They surrendered 16 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 227.2 yards/game, which had them sitting 84th in Division 1. In total, they relinquished 313 total points. Their defense compiled 7 fumbles recovered and 8 interceptions during the previous year. The Warriors defense took the field for 813 plays, which had them ranked 43rd in college football. The Warriors allowed 24.1 points per contest, which had them ranked 62nd in college football.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Warriors college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rebels -2.5

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