UNLV Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 11/14/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNLV Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (-14.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The UNLV Rebels (5-4) are on their way to University Stadium on Saturday, November 14, 2026 where they will try to defeat the New Mexico Lobos (8-1). New Mexico is 14.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 46.5.

The UNLV Rebels come into this game with a record of 5-4 this season. In their last matchup, the Rebels faced the Wyoming Cowboys and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 41-35. In all, they had 62 plays which gave them a total of 304 yds. The UNLV Rebels rushed the ball a total of 39 times and tallied 163 yds, earning them an average of 4.2 yds per carry. Against the run, the Rebels conceded 351 yds on 56 attempts, which calculates to 6.3 yards per run surrendered. UNLV surrendered 7 pass completions on 15 attempts for 132 yds, and a completion percentage of 46.7%.

The Rebels have tallied 3,371 total yards for the season. In terms of scoring touchdowns, UNLV has compiled 15 touchdowns through the air and 13 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 13 different times. UNLV has recorded 173 1st downs, and they have committed 55 infractions for 559 yds. Offensively they average 174.0 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 46th in college football. When talking about scoring points, the UNLV Rebels are averaging 26.1 PPG.

When talking about yards through the air, the Rebels have allowed 1,776 yards which puts them in 46th in the nation. They are allowing 197.3 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 54.3%. In total, they are granting 405.0 yards per contest which ranks them 113th in college football. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns via the pass and 15 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing 5.3 yards per rushing attempt and 207.7 rushing yards per game on the season. During the season, they have allowed 1,869 yards on the ground through 9 games. The Rebels are ranked 74th in the nation in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 25.7 PPG.

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The Lobos head into this game 8-1 for this season. In their last game, the Lobos walked away with a victory by a final of 31-3 when they faced the Nevada Wolf Pack. The Lobos finished the contest with a total of 374 yards and they ran 67 plays (5.6 yds per play). New Mexico ran for 4.7 yards per tote, finishing the game with 213 yards on 45 carries. New Mexico gave up 18 rushing attempts for -9 yards (-0.5 yds per rush). The Lobos pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 45.2%, surrendering 106 yards on 14 out of 31 passing.

The New Mexico Lobos average 362.6 yards per game, which is good for 88th in Division 1. The New Mexico offense has 484 penalty yds on 58 violations, which is good for 68th in the country in terms of hurting your team. They have an average of 213.1 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,918 yards for the season. They have thrown 7 interceptions while losing 1 fumbles and they have earned 173 first downs. When discussing their scoring prowess, the Lobos rank 25th in the country with an average of 34.6 PPG. Over the course of the season to this point, the Lobos have racked up 1,345 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 149.4 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 131st in the nation.

New Mexico has conceded a total of 644 yards rushing (71.6 yards per game) as well as 2 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have yielded 8 touchdowns through the air in addition to 168.7 yards/contest, which has them ranked 10th in the country. In total, they have allowed 98 points in total. Their defense has tallied 9 fumbles recovered and 17 picks this year. The Lobos defense has participated in 520 plays, which ranks 5th in Division 1. The Lobos are giving up 10.9 PPG, which has them 1st in college football.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rebels +14.5

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