UNLV Rebels vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 9/12/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNLV Rebels vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026

Location: DATCU Stadium in Denton, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Mean Green (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 57

The North Texas Mean Green (0-1) will take on the UNLV Rebels (1-1) at DATCU Stadium on Saturday, September 12, 2026. UNLV opens this contest as 3.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 57.

The UNLV Rebels come into this game with a record of 1-1 for this season. In their last game, the Rebels played the Hawaii Warriors and took home the win by a score of 21-6. On the ground, the Rebels conceded 118 yards on 33 attempts, which is an average of 3.6 yards per rush allowed. UNLV surrendered 17 completions on 43 tries for a total of 176 yards, and a completion rate of 39.5%. When all was said and done, they tallied 61 plays which gave them a total of 364 yards. The UNLV Rebels ran the rock 43 different times and had 248 yards, earning them an average of 5.8 yards per tote.

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In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the UNLV Rebels hold an average of 21.0 points per outing. As a team they average 208.5 yards in the run game which is 47th in D-1. The Rebels have earned 824 yards in total for the year. In terms of scoring touchdowns, UNLV has compiled 2 touchdowns via the pass and 4 touchdowns via the ground. UNLV has a total of 41 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 13 infractions for 134 yds. They haven't turned the ball over yet.

The Rebels are sitting in 73rd in the nation regarding team defense, conceding 16.5 points per contest. The opposition is running for 4.7 yards per rush and 156.5 rushing yards per game for the campaign. Overall, they have conceded 313 running yards through 2 contests. Regarding yards via the pass, the Rebels have given up 399 yards which has them sitting in 128th in Division 1. They have given up 199.5 yards per contest through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 46.4%. For the year, they are allowing 356.0 yards per game putting them at 82nd in Division 1. They have allowed 2 touchdowns by air in addition to 1 touchdown on the ground.

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The Mean Green step onto the field holding a record of 0-1 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Mean Green took a defeat with a final score of 52-16 against the Indiana Hoosiers. North Texas rushed for 4.0 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 152 yds on 38 attempts. The Mean Green finished with 367 yards while they ran 67 plays (5.5 yards per play). The Mean Green pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 81.3%, relinquishing 231 yds on 13 out of 16 passing. North Texas relinquished 30 rush attempts for 134 yds (4.5 yards per carry).

Concerning putting points on the board, the Mean Green rank 107th in the nation with 16.0 points per contest. The North Texas Mean Green maintain an average of 367.0 yards per contest, which ranks them 90th in college football. The North Texas offense has 79 yards of penalties on 9 infraction, which ranks them 37th in the nation in terms of helping out the other team. They have tossed 1 interception while conceding no fumbles and they have earned 19 first downs. For the season to this point, the Mean Green have compiled 215 yards through the air. They have an average of 152.0 yards per game on the ground.

North Texas has given up a total of 134 rushing yards as well as 3 touchdowns on the ground for the season. They have allowed 4 touchdowns via the pass as well as 231.0 yards per contest, which puts them in 94th in the country. They have compiled no fumbles recovered and no picks this season. The Mean Green defense has been on the field for 46 plays, which is 12th in D-1. The Mean Green are giving up 52.0 PPG, which has them 131st in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Mean Green college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rebels -3.5

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