USF Bulls vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, 9/26/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: USF Bulls vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026

Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, OH

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+17.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Bowling Green Falcons (0-3) will go up against the USF Bulls (3-0) at Doyt L. Perry Stadium on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Bowling Green opens this matchup as 17.5-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 49.5.

The USF Bulls step onto the field holding a record of 3-0 this year. In their last matchup, the Bulls took on the Delaware State Hornets and earned the victory with a final of 59-17. On the day, they ran 66 plays which converted into 611 yds. The USF Bulls ended up rushing 31 times and totaled 290 yds, which earned them an average of 9.4 yards per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Bulls conceded 103 yards on 31 tries, which averages out to 3.3 yds per run allowed. USF conceded 17 completions on 27 attempts for a total of 250 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.0%.

Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the USF Bulls have an average of 35.3 PPG. As a unit they average 176.0 yards on the ground which has them sitting 53rd in the country. The Bulls have earned 1,188 total yards for the year. In terms of getting in the endzone, USF has totaled 3 touchdowns via the pass and 10 rushing touchdowns. USF has tallied 68 first downs, and they have committed 11 penalties for 80 yards. They have surrendered the football 1 time.

The Bulls are ranked 37th in D-1 in terms of their opponents scoring, allowing 16.7 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.8 yards per running attempt and 134.0 rushing yards per game this year. Overall, they have conceded 402 yards via the ground game in 3 games. When talking about passing yards, the Bulls have conceded 679 yards which has them sitting in 92nd in the nation. They are conceding 226.3 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 65.9%. In total, they have given up 360.3 yards per game putting them 88th in D-1. They have yielded 5 touchdowns through the air and 1 touchdown via the ground game.

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The Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 0-3 for this season. In their last game, the Falcons took a loss by a final score of 55-7 when they played the Iowa State Cyclones. Bowling Green relinquished 46 rushing attempts for 365 yds (7.9 yards per rush). The Falcons secondary conceded a completion percentage of 66.7%, relinquishing 142 yards on 12 for 18 through the air. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 186 yds while they ran 52 plays (3.6 yards per play). Bowling Green rushed for 3.0 yards per tote, finishing the game with 90 yards on 30 attempts.

The Bowling Green Falcons hold an average of 240.3 yards per game, which has them ranked 138th in Division 1. The Bowling Green offense has compiled 156 yards of penalties on 20 violations, ranking them 72nd in the nation in terms of helping out the other team. They average 93.0 run yards per game and have run for 279 yards in total. They have given away 2 interceptions while conceding 4 fumbles and they have obtained 40 1st downs. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Falcons are ranking 138th in D-1 scoring 9.0 PPG. For the year thus far, the Falcons have thrown for a total of 442 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 147.3 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 126th in D-1.

Bowling Green has allowed the opposition a total of 887 yards rushing (295.7 yards per contest) as well as 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the year. They have yielded 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 210.0 yards/outing, which has them sitting 75th in D-1. Overall, they have allowed 131 pts. They have tallied 1 fumble and 2 picks for the year. The Falcons defense has taken part in 187 plays, which is good for 53rd in college football. The Falcons are allowing 43.7 points per contest, ranking them 137th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Bulls/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +17.5

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