Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 10/3/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos

Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026

Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-20.0)

Total/Over-Under: 51

The Boise State Broncos (3-1) will take on the Utah State Aggies (1-3) at Albertsons Stadium on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Utah State opens this matchup as 20-point dogs. The total is set at 51.

The Utah State Aggies head into this matchup 1-3 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Aggies went up against the Troy Trojans and went home with a win by a final score of 21-10. When the final whistle blew, they ran 59 plays which converted into 413 yards. The Utah State Aggies ran the football 31 times and tallied 171 yds, which is an average of 5.5 yds per attempt. In the running game, the Aggies gave up 169 yds on 31 attempts, which averages out to 5.5 yards per run allowed. Utah State gave up 25 pass completions on 49 attempts for 226 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.0%.

The Aggies have earned 1,279 yards in total over the course of this season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Utah State has earned 6 passing touchdowns and 1 touchdown on the ground. They have turned the football over 11 different times. Utah State has accumulated 72 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 37 infractions for 291 yards. As a team they're maintaining an average of 116.5 yards on the ground which ranks them 119th in Division 1. When it comes to scoring, the Utah State Aggies have an average of 13.0 points per game.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Aggies have conceded 913 yds which puts them in 96th in the nation. They have given up 228.3 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 58.8%. Over the course of this season, they have relinquished 368.0 yards per game which puts them 88th in the country. They have yielded 4 touchdowns via the pass and 4 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up 4.3 yards per rush and 139.8 rushing yards per contest on the campaign. In total, they have allowed 559 rushing yards through 4 outings. The Aggies are sitting in 64th in the nation regarding their opponents scoring, conceding 22.0 points per game.

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The Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 for this season. For their last game, the Broncos went home victorious with a score of 32-7 against the Western Michigan Broncos. Boise State relinquished 22 rush attempts for 113 yards (5.1 yards per carry). The Broncos secondary gave up a completion percentage of 51.7%, relinquishing 110 yds on 15 out of 29 through the air. The Broncos finished the game with a total of 377 yards while running 65 plays (5.8 yds per play). Boise State ran the football for 4.1 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 173 yards on 42 attempts.

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Broncos rank 54th in Division 1 with an average of 33.8 PPG. The Boise State Broncos maintain an average of 440.5 yards per game, which is good for 37th in Division 1. The Boise State offense has racked up 209 yards of penalties on 22 violations, ranking them 97th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away no interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 96 first downs. For the season so far, the Broncos have thrown for a total of 814 yards through the air in addition to an average of 203.5 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 99th in the nation. They are averaging 237.0 rushing yards per game and have run for 948 yards in total.

The Broncos are conceding 21.3 points per game, which puts them 54th in D-1. Boise State has surrendered a total of 403 yards on the ground (100.8 yards per contest) and 3 touchdowns on the ground this year. They have conceded 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 278.8 yards/game, which puts them in 131st in the country. The Broncos defense has taken part in 216 plays, which ranks 11th in the nation. Their defense has compiled 1 fumble recovered and 4 interceptions over the course of the season. In total, they have relinquished 85 total points.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Broncos college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Broncos -20.0

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