Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, 10/3/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State Seminoles

Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026

Location: Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, FL

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Seminoles (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51

Doak Campbell Stadium is the location where the Florida State Seminoles (2-2) will attempt to defeat the Virginia Cavaliers (3-1) on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Virginia opens as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 51.

The Virginia Cavaliers head into this game 3-1 for this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Cavaliers stepped onto the field against the Delaware Blue Hens and walked away with a win by a score of 42-3. For the game, they tallied 85 plays which totaled 556 yds. The Virginia Cavaliers ended up rushing 41 different times and accounted for 119 yards, earning them an average of 2.9 yards per tote. Against the run, the Cavaliers gave up 89 yds on 30 tries, which averages out to 3.0 yards per run allowed. Virginia surrendered 7 pass completions on 27 attempts for 71 yds, and a completion percentage of 25.9%.

Regarding scoring, the Virginia Cavaliers have an average of 40.5 points per contest. As a team they maintain an average of 192.8 yards on the ground which has them sitting 37th in D-1. The Cavaliers have earned 1,789 total yards for the season. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Virginia has compiled 15 touchdowns through the air and 6 rushing touchdowns. Virginia has amassed 96 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 21 infractions for 195 yards. They have surrendered the football 2 times.

The Cavaliers rank 17th in D-1 when it comes to team defense, allowing 13.0 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per attempt on the ground and 116.8 rushing yards per game for the year. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 467 rushing yards through 4 games. In terms of passing yardage, the Cavaliers have conceded 521 yards which has them sitting in 9th in D-1. They are giving up 130.3 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 47.5%. Overall, they are giving up 247.0 yards per outing which ranks them 14th in the country. They have yielded 2 touchdowns by air as well as 4 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Seminoles head into this matchup 2-2 for this year. In their last game, the Seminoles took home the win by a final score of 34-7 when they faced the Central Arkansas Bears. Florida State rushed for 6.4 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 179 yards on 28 carries. The Seminoles finished the game with 417 yards on 48 plays (8.7 yards per play). The Seminoles secondary gave up a completion rate of 50.0%, surrendering 138 yds on 15 out of 30 passing. Florida State gave up 43 rushing attempts for 110 yds (2.6 yds per carry).

The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 407.8 yards/outing, which ranks them 69th in the country. The Florida State offense has compiled 247 yards of penalties on 26 infractions, which is 71st in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They hold an average of 172.3 rushing yards per game and have run for 689 yards overall. They have tossed 5 interceptions while losing 1 fumble and they have been able to earn 77 first downs. In terms of the points being put on the board, the Seminoles are sitting 64th in D-1 averaging 32.0 points per game. For the season thus far, the Seminoles have thrown for a total of 942 passing yards as well as holding an average of 235.5 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 66th in D-1.

Florida State has allowed a total of 559 rushing yards (139.8 yards per outing) and 4 touchdowns via the rush for the campaign. They have conceded 8 touchdowns via the pass as well as 290.0 yards per outing, which has them sitting 135th in Division 1. Overall, they have surrendered 101 total points. Their defense has compiled 2 fumbles and 3 interceptions on the season. The Seminoles defense has participated in 272 plays, which has them sitting 101st in college football. The Seminoles are giving up 25.3 points per game, which puts them 91st in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Cavaliers/Seminoles college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Seminoles +2.5

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