Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 11/14/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (-1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 61.5

Gerald J. Ford Stadium is the site where the SMU Mustangs (7-2) will go up against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (8-1) on Saturday, November 14, 2026. Wake Forest opens this contest as 1.5-point dogs. The over/under is set at 61.5.

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons come into this matchup with a record of 8-1 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Demon Deacons faced the Merrimack Warriors and walked away with a win by a score of 77-0. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons ended up running the ball 28 different times and accumulated 184 yards, which had them averaging 6.6 yards per carry. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 61 plays which converted into 730 yards. Wake Forest gave up 16 pass completions on 35 tries for 100 yds, and a completion rate of 45.7%. Against the run, the Demon Deacons conceded 102 yds on 38 attempts, which averages out to 2.7 yds per rush allowed.

Concerning getting in the endzone, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons have an average of 43.3 PPG. Offensively they maintain an average of 175.8 yards on the ground ranking them 42nd in college football. The Demon Deacons have earned 4,389 yards in total this season. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Wake Forest has amassed 22 passing touchdowns and 26 touchdowns via the ground. Wake Forest has compiled 216 first downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 77 penalties for 749 yds. They have turned the ball over 3 different times.

In terms of passing yards, the Demon Deacons have conceded 2,025 yds which ranks them 85th in the nation. They are allowing 225.0 yards per contest through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 71.5%. In total, they have surrendered 310.0 yards per outing which has them sitting 24th in the country. They have surrendered 11 touchdowns by air in addition to 6 touchdowns pounding the rock. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.7 yards per rush and 85.0 rushing yards per game for the year. In total, they have conceded 765 yards on the ground through 9 outings. The Demon Deacons are sitting in 13th in the nation when it comes to team defense, conceding 15.9 points per game.

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The Mustangs head into this game 7-2 for this season. When they last played, the Mustangs got the victory with a final of 51-28 against the Virginia Tech Hokies. The Mustangs finished with 569 yds while running 68 plays (8.4 yards per play). SMU ran the ball for 6.1 yds per carry, finishing the game with 219 yds on 36 attempts. SMU surrendered 28 run attempts for 126 yds (4.5 yds per carry). The Mustangs secondary gave up a completion percentage of 73.7%, relinquishing 291 yds on 28 for 38 passing.

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Mustangs rank 19th in the nation averaging 37.0 points per contest. The SMU Mustangs maintain an average of 475.8 yards per outing, which has them ranked 11th in college football. The SMU offense has racked up 586 penalty yards on 63 violations, which ranks 50th in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 6 interceptions while losing 6 fumbles and they have earned 224 first downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Mustangs have compiled 2,894 yards via the pass as well as an average of 321.6 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 7th in college football. They have an average of 154.2 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 1,388 yards for the season.

SMU has yielded a total of 1,133 yards rushing (125.9 yards/game) and 13 touchdowns on the ground this season. They have allowed the opposition 11 touchdowns via the pass as well as 193.9 yards per contest, ranking them 42nd in college football. This year, they have allowed 206 total points. They have compiled 5 fumbles recovered and 3 interceptions for the year. The Mustangs defense has been on the field for 572 plays, which is 48th in Division 1. The Mustangs are conceding 22.9 points per game, which puts them 53rd in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Demon Deacons/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mustangs -1.5

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