Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs MTSU Blue Raiders Prediction, 11/7/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs MTSU Blue Raiders

Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026

Location: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, TN

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Blue Raiders (-1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

The MTSU Blue Raiders (4-4) are hosting the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-5) at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium on Saturday, November 7, 2026. MTSU opens this game as 1.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 52.5.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers step onto the field holding a record of 3-5 for this season. In their last matchup, the Hilltoppers faced off with the Delaware Blue Hens and took a loss by a score of 35-21. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ran the football 34 times and tallied 232 yards, which came out to an average of 6.8 yds per carry. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 77 plays which converted into 477 yds. Western Kentucky allowed 32 pass completions on 38 attempts for 414 yds, and a completion percentage of 84.2%. Against the run, the Hilltoppers gave up 80 yards on 28 tries, which is an average of 2.9 yds per rush surrendered.

Regarding scoring points, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers hold an average of 21.3 points per game. As a team they maintain an average of 148.0 yards via the ground game which is 82nd in the nation. The Hilltoppers have earned 2,952 yards in total for the season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Western Kentucky has earned 10 touchdowns via the pass and 11 rushing touchdowns. Western Kentucky has amassed 154 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 38 penalties for 326 yards. They have surrendered the ball 11 different times.

The Hilltoppers are ranked 119th in Division 1 in terms of team defense, conceding 31.1 points per game. They are giving up 5.3 yards per rushing attempt and 171.1 rushing yards per game for the year. In total, they have given up 1,369 rushing yards through 8 games. Concerning yards through the air, the Hilltoppers have allowed 1,750 yds which puts them in 76th in the country. They have conceded 218.8 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 60.4%. Over the course of this year, they have given up 389.9 yards per outing ranking them 101st in the nation. They have given up 16 touchdowns via the pass as well as 14 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Blue Raiders come into this game with a record of 4-4 this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Blue Raiders walked away with a loss by a score of 44-28 against the Kennesaw State Owls. MTSU conceded 29 attempts on the ground for 112 yds (3.9 yards per carry). The Blue Raiders pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 84.2%, relinquishing 206 yds on 16 out of 19 passing. The Blue Raiders finished the contest with a total of 380 yds on 89 plays (4.3 yds per play). MTSU ran for 4.4 yds per carry, finishing the game with 197 yds on 45 attempts.

In terms of their scoring prowess, the Blue Raiders are 95th in the country with 23.9 points per outing. The MTSU Blue Raiders maintain an average of 344.6 yards/game, which has them ranked 108th in D-1. The MTSU offense has accrued 426 penalty yards on 58 violations, which is 44th in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 4 interceptions while conceding 2 fumbles and they have recorded 153 1st downs. For the season to this point, the Blue Raiders have compiled 1,587 yards through the air in addition to an average of 198.4 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 101st in college football. They have an average of 146.3 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,170 yards for the year.

MTSU has allowed a total of 1,475 yards via the ground game (184.4 yards per contest) as well as 17 touchdowns on the ground for the year. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns through the air in addition to 210.5 yards/outing, which has them ranked 69th in the country. This year, they have allowed 237 total points. Their defense has totaled 5 fumbles recovered and 6 picks this year. The Blue Raiders defense has participated in 490 plays, which is good for 24th in Division 1. The Blue Raiders are allowing 29.6 points per contest, which has them sitting 110th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Hilltoppers/Blue Raiders college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Hilltoppers +1.5

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