Wisconsin Badgers vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, 9/26/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Wisconsin Badgers vs Penn State Nittany Lions

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026

Location: Beaver Stadium in University Park, PA

TV: Peacock

Odds/Point Spread: Nittany Lions (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0) will try to defeat the Wisconsin Badgers (2-1) at Beaver Stadium on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Wisconsin opens this matchup as 10.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 45.5.

The Wisconsin Badgers head into this matchup 2-1 for this season. In their last matchup, the Badgers played against the Eastern Michigan Eagles and took home the win by a score of 54-10. Once the final whistle blew, they had 63 plays which gave them 479 yards. The Wisconsin Badgers ended up rushing 30 different times and totaled 117 yards, earning them an average of 3.9 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Badgers gave up 62 yards on 30 attempts, which averages out to 2.1 yds per run allowed. Wisconsin gave up 18 pass completions on 30 attempts for a total of 154 yards, and a completion rate of 60.0%.

The Badgers have earned 1,169 total yards for the season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Wisconsin has earned 5 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 3 times. Wisconsin has earned 55 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 16 penalties for 138 yds. As a unit they average 139.0 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 101st in college football. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Wisconsin Badgers have an average of 34.3 points per game.

The Badgers are sitting in 57th in the country regarding team defense, allowing 20.0 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.3 yards per tote and 109.0 yards on the ground per game for the year. Overall, they have given up 327 yards via the ground game in 3 contests. Regarding passing yards, the Badgers have conceded 541 yards which has them sitting in 47th in Division 1. They are allowing 180.3 yards per outing through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 62.5%. Overall, they have allowed 289.3 yards per outing putting them at 43rd in the nation. They have surrendered 3 touchdowns by air as well as 2 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Nittany Lions step onto the field holding a record of 3-0 for this season. In their last game, the Nittany Lions got the victory with a final of 55-13 when they faced the Buffalo Bulls. Penn State relinquished 38 rush attempts for 113 yds (3.0 yds per rush). The Nittany Lions pass defense gave up a completion rate of 40.0%, surrendering 60 yards on 10 out of 25 passing. The Nittany Lions finished the contest with a total of 573 yards while running 67 plays (8.6 yds per play). Penn State ended up running for 7.4 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 304 yards on 41 attempts.

The Penn State Nittany Lions maintain an average of 492.0 yards/game, ranking them 23rd in Division 1. The Penn State offense has 161 yards of penalties on 16 infractions, which ranks 101st in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They are averaging 205.0 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 615 yards overall. They have thrown no interceptions while losing no fumbles and they have been able to earn 73 1st downs. When looking at their ability to score points, the Nittany Lions are 22nd in the nation with an average of 42.3 PPG. For the year to this point, the Nittany Lions have thrown for a total of 861 yards via the pass along with an average of 287.0 throwing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 28th in college football.

Penn State has allowed a total of 333 yards rushing (111.0 yards per game) in addition to 2 touchdowns rushing this season. They have allowed 0 touchdowns from the passing game and 90.0 yards/game, which has them in 2nd in the nation. This year, they have surrendered 22 points in total. Their defense has compiled 3 fumbles and 2 interceptions so far this season. The Nittany Lions defense has been on the field for 172 plays, which is 22nd in D-1. The Nittany Lions are conceding 7.3 PPG, which puts them 3rd in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Badgers/Nittany Lions college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Badgers +10.5

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