2014 Golden State Warriors Predictions and NBA Futures Odds
by George Monroy - 9/17/2014
The Golden State Warriors made the biggest coaching move of the offseason by letting go of Mark Jackson, who had just led the team to a 51-win season, and hiring former Phoenix Suns general manger and TNT analyst Steve Kerr. Golden State also spent the summer deep in the Kevin Love trade saga and nearly sent its sharp-shooting guard Klay Thompson to Minnesota for the all-star center.
For the amount of coaching and trade drama surround the team, Golden State is far more stable than the news headlines might let on. The squad is in the middle of a franchise-changing turnaround that saw the organization go from the bottom of the Western Conference in 2011 to consecutive playoffs appearances in 2012 and 2013. Let's take a closer look at Golden States' 2014 futures odds with predictions and analysis.
2014 Golden State Warriors Betting Story Lines
The two biggest offseason storylines for the organization revolved around the shocking, yet not unexpected, firing of former coach Jackson and the team's near trade for Love. The coaching saga stemmed from an issue between Jackson and management, but it ended with Golden State trading a young and smart first-time coach for another young and smart first-time coach.
Kerr is respected for his basketball knowledge around the league and was nearly scooped up by his mentor Phil Jackson for the New York Knicks job. The former-Chicago Bulls guard established himself as a forward-thinking basketball mind during his tenure as General Manger in Phoenix when he had the gall to break up the seven-seconds-or-less Suns by trading for Shaquille O'Neal. The trade did not work as Phoenix was never the same team, but what it did do was paint Kerr as a GM who was not afraid to take a chance.
2014 Golden State Warriors Additions and Departures
Golden State will enter the 2014 season nearly $18 million over the salary cap and with little flexibility for roster moves throughout the year. The squad, however, will probably not need to make any major signings as it returns the same lineup as last season. The only addition has been the free-agent signing of Shaun Livingston.
The team also lost Steve Blake during free agency-a non issue-but will rely on its core of Stephen Curry, Thompson, and Andre Iguodala to make an impact this year. Golden State is one of the deepest teams in the league and will have a multiple lineups that allow it to play small and fast or an inside-out game with big men David Lee and Andrew Bogut.
2014 Golden State Warriors Futures Odds and Trends
NBA title odds: +2200
Western Conference odds: +1000
Stephan Curry MVP odds: +2500
Golden State has improved each of the last two seasons and should be on pace for another 50-plus-win year. The team is receiving the eight-best NBA title odds at +2200 and the sixth-best Western Conference title odds at +1000. Curry is also receiving Top 10 MVP odds and will certainly be in the conversation, but he is still a long shot to actually win the award.
In 2013 the Warriors were essentially a 50/50 ATS team as they recorded a 41-38-3 overall record and surprisingly produced a 33-47-2 totals mark on the year. Golden State averaged 104.3 points per game and became a team with a reputation for going "over" its totals lines. The oddsmakers may be overvaluing the team, however, as it went under a strong majority of the time.
2014 Golden State Warriors Predictions and Futures Odds Picks
Golden State is a talented group with an adaptable roster that can play nearly every style of basketball on the court. The question is, are they really a title contender? The NBA is a superstar's league, whether it is a coach or a player, and at the moment the Warriors do not seem to have either. Kerr has the potential to be a great on the bench, but he will probably struggle during his first year, and Curry is on the verge of becoming a Top 10 player but is not a superstar just yet.
The Warriors title odds have value simply because the team is almost a shoe in to make the playoffs. Yet, realistically Golden State is probably not a title contender. Curry also has value in the MVP race even if his candidacy is a long shot. The spectacular guard would probably need to lead Golden State to a 60-win season and average 28 to 30 points a game in order to be considered for the honor.
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