Sunday, March 6, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
The Dallas Mavericks travel to Pepsi Center to play the Denver Nuggets on Sunday, March 6, 2016. The opening line for this game has Dallas as 2.5 point favorites and the over/under has been set at 211.5.
The Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 33-29 and a road record of 14-16. They are 3rd in the Southwest Division. They currently have a point differential of 0 as they are averaging 102.5 points per game while giving up 102.4 per contest. Dallas is 5-8 against division opponents and they have a conference record of 21-17. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Nuggets have an overall record of 24-38 and a home record of 12-19. They currently are 4th in the Northwest Division. They are averaging 101.3 points per game and surrendering 104.4, good for a point differential of -3. Denver has a division record of 4-9 and a conference record of 13-27. In their last 10 games they are 3-7.
Dirk Nowitzki comes into this contest averaging 17.6 points per game while playing 31 minutes per night so far this season for the Mavericks. He pulls down 6.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.7 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is currently at 89%. Wesley Matthews averages 12.3 points per game in 33.1 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.9 assists per contest and 2.9 rebounds per game for Dallas. His field goal percentage is 39% for the year while his free throw percentage is 85%.
Gary Harris averages 11.6 points per game while playing 31.9 minutes per contest this year for the Nuggets. He grabs 2.9 rebounds per game and has 1.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage currently is at 80%. Will Barton averages 15.1 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 28.9 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.1 rebounds per contest and 2.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 83%.
Dallas averages 102.5 points per contest this season which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 0 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team which has them ranked 21st. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 21st in the league. They average 50.1 rebounds per game and 21.9 assists per game which ranks them 24th and 16th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 1st with 12.7 per game. The Mavericks allow 102.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 15th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc ranking them 18th and 6th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 54.2 rebounds a game which ranks 24th and they give up 21.7 assists per contest which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 14 turnovers per game which ranks them 19th in the league.
Denver averages 101.3 points per game this year which ranks them 19th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -3 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team which has them sitting in the 23rd spot in the league. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 24th in the NBA. They average 53.5 rebounds per game and 22.4 assists per contest which ranks them 8th and 12th respectively. In the turnover department the Nuggets rank 18th with 14.8 per game. The Nuggets allow 104.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 22nd in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc ranking them 21st and 27th in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 50.8 rebounds a game which ranks 9th and they give up 23.1 assists per contest which puts them in 23rd place in the league. The Nuggets force 13.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 20th in the NBA.
The Mavericks average 99.4 points per game on the road this season and they have scored 116.7 ppg in their past 3 contests. They have an average scoring differential of -4.1 on the road and in their past 3 games their difference is 12.3 per contest. The Mavericks have an offensive rating of 106.6 and a defensive rating of 106.6. In terms of pace they average 94.3 possessions per 48 minutes and their effective field goal percentage is 50%. As a team they have a true shooting percentage of 54% and they shoot 3 pointers on 33% of their shots. Dallas turns the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions and they force 12.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%.
The Nuggets score 103.4 ppg at home and they have averaged 111 points per contest in their last 3 games. They have an average scoring differential of 0.7 in their past 3 contests and at home this season they have a difference of -3.1 points per game. The Nuggets rating on offense is 105.1 and they have a defensive rating of 108.2. They get 95.6 possessions per 48 minutes and they have an effective field goal percentage of 49%. As a unit they have a true shooting percentage of 53% and they attempt 3 pointers on 28% of their shot attempts. Denver turns the ball over on 13.4 out of every 100 possessions and their opponents average 12.9 turnovers per 100 possessions. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the year is 52%.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends
The Dallas Mavericks are 33-28-1 against the spread
The Dallas Mavericks are 30-30-2 against the over/under
Denver Nuggets Betting Trends
The Denver Nuggets are 32-27-3 against the spread
The Denver Nuggets are 35-25-2 against the over/under
Dallas Mavericks Injuries
No key players to report
Denver Nuggets Injuries
11/12/15 F Wilson Chandler Hip out for season
02/28/16 F Danilo Gallinari Ankle out indefinitely
Guy's Pick: Take Denver
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's NBA Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert NBA Picks