Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 3/2/2019

Saturday, March 2, 2019

American Airlines Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Memphis Grizzlies travel to American Airlines Center to play the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday, March 2, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Dallas as 5.5 point favorites.

The Grizzlies have a record of 24-39. They are 5th in the Southwest Division. They have a point differential of -3.1 as they average 101.0 points per game while giving up 104.1 per contest. The Mavericks have an overall mark of 27-34. They currently are 3rd in the Southwest Division. They total 108.7 points per contest and give up 109.2, which is a point differential of -0.5.

Valuable Memphis Grizzlies Betting Trends

The Memphis Grizzlies are 27-35-1 against the spread

The Memphis Grizzlies are 24-38-0 against the over/under

Important Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

The Dallas Mavericks are 36-25-0 against the spread

The Dallas Mavericks are 27-33-0 against the over/under

Key Memphis Grizzlies Injuries

02/28/19 F Ivan Rabb Heel is questionable Saturday vs Dallas
02/23/19 F Jaren Jackson Jr. Quad is out indefinitely
02/23/19 SF Kyle Anderson Shoulder is out indefinitely
02/01/19 SF Omri Casspi Knee is out indefinitely
01/09/19 G Dillon Brooks Leg is out for season

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

10/11/18 F Kristaps Porzingis Knee is out indefinitely
02/28/19 PG Trey Burke Illness is questionable Saturday vs Memphis
01/12/19 PG J.J. Barea Achilles is out for season

Player Spotlight

Avery Bradley comes into this contest averaging 9.2 points per game while playing 29.9 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 2.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 40% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 84%. Mike Conley averages 20.2 points per game in 33.5 minutes per contest this season. He averages 6.4 assists per contest and 3.4 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 85%.

Player Spotlight

Tim Hardaway averages 18.8 points per game while playing 32.1 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.5 rebounds per game and has 2.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 84%. Luka Doncic averages 20.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.3 rebounds per contest and 5.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 73%.

Useful Team Statistics

Memphis averages 101.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 30th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -3.1 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 26th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 29th in the league. They average 40.8 rebounds per game and 23.4 assists per game, which ranks them 29th and 21st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 16th with 14.1 per game. The Grizzlies allow 104.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 2nd in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 6th and 22nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.6 rebounds a game which ranks 13th and they give up 23.0 assists per contest, which puts them in 5th place in the league. They force 15.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 26th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 21st in the league with 108.7 points per game this year. They are 25th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -0.5. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 24th in the NBA. They are 12th in the league in rebounding with 45.4 boards per game, and 25th in assists per contest with 22.8. The Mavericks are 7th in turnovers per game with 15.2. The Mavericks surrender 109.2 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 14th and 8th in those defensive statistics. They rank 14th with 24.3 assists allowed per contest and 11th with 44.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 9th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Grizzlies are 29th in the league in defensive rating with 107.6, and their offensive rating of 104.3 is ranked 7th. They are 30th in the NBA in pace with 96 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 28th. As a unit they are 27th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 33% of their shot attempts, ranking 21st in the NBA. Memphis is 10th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 17th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 5th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 16th in the league. The Mavericks are 20th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.1, and their defensive rating of 109.6 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 18th in the league with 99.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 19th. As a team they are 16th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shots, ranking 3rd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Grizzlies/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas -5.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn