Milwaukee Bucks at Dallas Mavericks Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 2/8/2019

Friday, February 8, 2019
American Airlines Center
Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.
The Milwaukee Bucks travel to American Airlines Center to play the Dallas Mavericks on Friday, February 8, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee as 7 point favorites.
The Bucks have a record of 40-13. They are 1st in the Central Division. They have a point differential of 10.2 as they average 117.8 points per game while giving up 107.6 per contest. The Mavericks have an overall mark of 25-28. They currently are 3rd in the Southwest Division. They total 109.1 points per contest and give up 108.4, which is a point differential of 0.7.
Valuable Milwaukee Bucks Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Bucks are 30-20-2 against the spread
The Milwaukee Bucks are 24-28-0 against the over/under
Important Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends
The Dallas Mavericks are 33-19-0 against the spread
The Dallas Mavericks are 22-29-0 against the over/under
Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries
02/07/19 SF Stanley Johnson Acquired is questionable Friday vs Dallas
02/06/19 G Donte DiVincenzo Heel is questionable Friday vs Dallas
Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries
10/11/18 F Kristaps Porzingis Knee is out indefinitely
02/07/19 SF Justin Jackson Acquired is questionable Friday vs Milwaukee
01/12/19 PG J.J. Barea Achilles is out for season
Player Spotlight
Khris Middleton comes into this contest averaging 17.3 points per game while playing 31.0 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 5.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 85%. Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 27.0 points per game in 33.1 minutes per contest this season. He averages 5.9 assists per contest and 12.4 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 58% for the year while his free throw percentage is 71%.
Player Spotlight
Tim Hardaway averages 19.0 points per game while playing 32.4 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.5 rebounds per game and has 2.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 85%. Luka Doncic averages 20.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.1 rebounds per contest and 5.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 73%.
Useful Team Statistics
Milwaukee averages 117.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 2nd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 10.2 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 2nd. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 11th in the league. They average 48.7 rebounds per game and 26.5 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 12th with 14.4 per game. The Bucks allow 107.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 7th in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 1st and 15th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.3 rebounds a game which ranks 14th and they give up 24.5 assists per contest, which puts them in 17th place in the league. They force 14.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 16th in the league.
Useful Team Statistics
Dallas is 20th in the league with 109.1 points per game this year. They are 21st in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 0.7. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 22nd in the NBA. They are 11th in the league in rebounding with 46.2 boards per game, and 25th in assists per contest with 22.7. The Mavericks are 5th in turnovers per game with 15.3. The Mavericks surrender 108.4 points per contest, which ranks them 10th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 10th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 12th with 23.9 assists allowed per contest and 9th with 43.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 9th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per game.
Advanced Statistics
The Bucks are 4th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.8, and their defensive rating of 104 is ranked 1st. In terms of pace they are 5th in the league with 103.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 2nd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league. Milwaukee is 14th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 30th in the league.
Advanced Statistics
Dallas is 6th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 21st in the NBA. The Mavericks are 19th in the league in defensive rating with 108.5, and their offensive rating of 109.3 is ranked 11th. They are 17th in the NBA in pace with 99.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 17th. As a unit they are 15th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA.
Who will win tonight's Bucks/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Dallas +7
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free NBA Picks & Expert Advice
Get all of Today's NBA Best Bets