Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 9/6/2020 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat
Date: Sunday, September 6, 2020
Location: AdventHealth Arena in Orlando, Florida
Odds/Point Spread: Miami -1
Khris Middleton and the Milwaukee Bucks are headed to AdventHealth Arena on Sunday where they'll take on the Miami Heat in Game 4 of their series. The spread on this matchup has Miami as 1-point favorites. The O/U has been set at 219.5.
The Bucks are on the verge of elimination after losing Game 3 by a score of 115-100 to fall behind in the series 3-0. Giannis Antetokounmpo led Milwaukee with 21 pts, 16 boards, and 9 assists but it wasn't enough to overcome the relentless Miami attack in the 4th quarter. Jimmy Butler led the Heat with 30 points, 7 rebounds, and 6 assists while shooting 14-19 from the field. He'll look to continue the Heat's undefeated postseason run on Sunday.
The Bucks cover the spread 52.5% of the time, having gone 42-38-1 ATS. Miami is covering 55.1% of the time, going 43-35-2 against the spread.
Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries
No key injuries to report
Key Miami Heat Injuries
9/4/2020 Kelly Olynyk PF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
9/3/2020 Gabe Vincent PG Shoulder Game Time Decision
8/29/2020 Chris Silva PF Pelvis Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
Khris Middleton comes into this contest averaging 20.9 points per game while playing 29.9 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 6.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 92%. Eric Bledsoe averages 14.9 points per game in 27.0 minutes per contest this season. He averages 5.4 assists per contest and 4.6 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 48% for the year while his free throw percentage is 79%.
Bam Adebayo averages 15.9 points per game while playing 33.6 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 10.2 rebounds per game and has 5.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage is at 69%. Jimmy Butler averages 19.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.8 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.7 rebounds per contest and 6.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 83%.
Useful Team Statistics
Milwaukee averages 118.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 10.1 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 3rd. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 17th in the league. They average 51.7 rebounds per game and 25.9 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 6th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 11th with 15.1 per game. The Bucks allow 108.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 8th in the league. They also allow a 41% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 1st and 15th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.8 rebounds a game which ranks 21st and they give up 24.2 assists per contest, which puts them in 11th place in the league. They force 14.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 12th in the league.
Useful Team Statistics
Miami is 15th in the league with 112.0 points per game this year. They are 8th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.0. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They are 17th in the league in rebounding with 44.4 boards per game, and 5th in assists per contest with 25.9. The Heat are 13th in turnovers per game with 14.9. The Heat surrender 109.1 points per contest, which ranks them 10th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 7th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 15th with 24.6 assists allowed per contest and 3rd with 42.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 10th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.0 per game.
The Bucks are 8th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.4, and their defensive rating of 102.9 is ranked 1st. In terms of pace they are 1st in the league with 105.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 1st. As a team they are 3rd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shots, ranking 4th in the league. Milwaukee is 17th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 30th in the league.
Miami is 7th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 20th in the league. The Heat are 7th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.5, and their defensive rating of 109.5 is ranked 10th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 3rd. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league.
Who will win tonight's Bucks/Heat NBA game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Milwaukee +1
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