Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 11/3/2023 Preview and Pick
Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets
Date: Friday, November 3, 2023
Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO
Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+5)
Ball Arena is where the Denver Nuggets (4-1) will take on the Dallas Mavericks (4-0) on Friday. Denver opens this matchup as 5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 224.5.
The Mavericks faced off with the Bulls and notched a win by a score of 114-105 in their last game. In relation to fouls, the Mavericks walked away with 11 while the Bulls totaled 23 fouls. They also converted 11 out of their 33 attempts from 3-point land. Chicago ended up shooting 90.9% at the charity stripe by knocking down 10 of their 11 attempts. Additionally, Chicago grabbed 43 boards (12 offensive, 31 defensive) and added 2 rejections. Chicago doled out 19 dimes and had 10 steals for the game. When talking about defending, Dallas let their opponent shoot 47.2% from the field on 42 of 89 shooting. They also dished out 23 dimes for this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and earning 7 steals. With regard to hauling in rebounds, they collected 45 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Mavericks converted 20 of their 28 tries for a rate of 71.4%. Dallas ended with a 45.7% FG percentage (37 out of 81) and converted 20 of their 48 three-point attempts.
Dereck Lively II is someone who was a contributor for the matchup. He totaled 7 points on 3 out of 5 shooting. He played for 33 minutes and pulled down 13 rebounds. Lively II went 60.0% from the floor and earned 6 assists.
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Dallas enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 4-0 this year. They turn the ball over 12.8 times per game and as a group are committing 15.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Dallas is pulling in 45.3 boards per contest and has 91 dimes on the year, which has them ranked 27th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Mavericks are shooting 41.0% from downtown (73 of 178) and 74.8% from the free throw line. They are averaging 122.5 pts per game (3rd in the league) while shooting 47.9% from the field.
When they are on defense, the Mavericks are forcing 15.0 turnovers per game while drawing 24.0 personal fouls. They currently rank 12th in basketball in giving up assists with 104 relinquished for the campaign. The Mavericks defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 48.3% (175 of 362) and they surrender 44.8 rebounds per contest as a group. They are giving up 38.5% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 18th in the league in PPG allowed (113.5).
The last time they took the court, the Nuggets went home defeated by a final of 110-89 against the Timberwolves. The Nuggets were able to corral 31 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 43 in this game. They also turned it over 15 times, while recording 6 steals in this contest. The Timberwolves were called for 15 personal fouls for this game which got the Nuggets to the free throw line for a total of 10 tries. They were able to bury 7 of the free throws for a percentage of 70.0%. Pertaining to shots from beyond the perimeter, Denver converted 6 out of 33 attempts (18.2%). Overall, the Nuggets finished 38 for 96 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 39.6%. The Nuggets allowed the Timberwolves to knock down 38 of their 83 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.8% for the game. They wrapped up this game 38.1% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 8 out of 21 and ended up shooting 26 out of 27 at the free throw line (96.3%). Regarding attacking the glass, Denver permitted Minnesota to get 47 overall (8 on the offensive side).
Nikola Jokic ended up being a factor for the Nuggets in the matchup. He converted 11 out of 23 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 47.8%, and tallied 10 rebounds. Jokic accumulated 25 points in his 30 mins on the hardwood and tallied 3 assists for this game.
Denver has a mark of 4-1 this season. The Nuggets are responsible for committing 18.0 fouls every game and they connect on 65.7% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 29.0 times per contest (2nd in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.6 times per game. Denver has totaled 554 points for the season (110.8 per contest) and they collect 43.2 rebounds per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Nuggets are shooting 50.8% from the field, which is ranked 1st in the league.
The Nuggets are ranked 4th in basketball in points allowed per contest with 103.6. They are able to force 14.0 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 43.7% from the field (7th in the league). The Denver defense gives up 29.6% on shots from beyond the arc (45 of 152) and opponents are knocking down 79.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 23.4 dimes and 43.8 boards on a nightly basis, which is 8th and 12th in the league.
Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denver (-5)
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